HSFBfan Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Results should be coming in by 8pm EST. Its a special election. Most places have it lean Republican but it's very close. Could be an indicator about what November could look like https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/ohio-house-special-election Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 1 hour ago, HSFBfan said: Results should be coming in by 8pm EST. Its a special election. Most places have it lean Republican but it's very close. Could be an indicator about what November could look like https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/ohio-house-special-election So what's your poison at this stage? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Early vote in - Dem was predicted to have a 30% margin - got 26%. Predicted turnout 220,000 - current vote totals less than 60,000. So 160,000 votes to make up 6500. Think he can do it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 16 minutes ago, Bormio said: Early vote in - Dem was predicted to have a 30% margin - got 26%. Predicted turnout 220,000 - current vote totals less than 60,000. So 160,000 votes to make up 6500. Think he can do it. Half the vote now in. Dem still leading, albeit by a greatly reduced margin of about 4.8%. The key is the counties where the remainder of the votes are outstanding. It looks to me at this state like the Dem pulls this one out by 2% or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, DarterBlue said: Half the vote now in. Dem still leading, albeit by a greatly reduced margin of about 4.8%. The key is the counties where the remainder of the votes are outstanding. It looks to me at this state like the Dem pulls this one out by 2% or so. it's the DarterBlue wave....😉 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Just now, DBP66 said: it's the DarterBlue wave....😉 We hope! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Just now, DarterBlue said: Half the vote now in. Dem still leading, albeit by a greatly reduced margin of about 4.8%. The key is the counties where the remainder of the votes are outstanding. It looks to me at this state like the Dem pulls this one out by 2% or so. The outstanding county is Delaware - suburban Columbus - usually very GOP. None of Election Day vote is in from there. Franklin County (Columbus) is mostly in, probably another 4000 Dem margin there. Delaware Co will decide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Bormio said: The outstanding county is Delaware - suburban Columbus - usually very GOP. None of Election Day vote is in from there. Franklin County (Columbus) is mostly in, probably another 4000 Dem margin there. Delaware Co will decide. Well that's very interesting. It will show to what extent the well to do educated class still back Trump. Franklin is 65% reported (2/3), so it could give the Dems more than just another 4k if the margin remains the same for the outstanding voters. So they could pick up 8k there IMO. But regardless, it's an interesting special election and is probably indicative of what we can expect in the fall! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 1 minute ago, DarterBlue said: Well that's very interesting. It will show to what extent the well to do educated class still back Trump. Franklin is 65% reported (2/3), so it could give the Dems more than just another 4k if the margin remains the same for the outstanding voters. So they could pick up 8k there IMO. But regardless, it's an interesting special election and is probably indicative of what we can expect in the fall! No, a lot of the Franklin vote was early vote. Probably only 10,000 votes or so left in Franklin. The % reporting is % of precincts with Election Day voting in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Bormio said: The outstanding county is Delaware - suburban Columbus - usually very GOP. None of Election Day vote is in from there. Franklin County (Columbus) is mostly in, probably another 4000 Dem margin there. Delaware Co will decide. Repub just took the lead. About 44,000 votes left in Delaware County vs 24,000 left in Franklin. The remainder are just about done. With a quarter of the vote in, for Delaware, the Repub has a very narrow lead. If that continued, The Dem probably gets home by a close margin. Of course this is sheer conjecture, as I have no idea what the outstanding precincts will do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Dem just gained 3000 in Franklin, now almost 90% in though. Delaware still out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bormio said: No, a lot of the Franklin vote was early vote. Probably only 10,000 votes or so left in Franklin. The % reporting is % of precincts with Election Day voting in. Well less than 8k Franklin votes left whichever way you slice it. Dem has a very small lead. It totally comes down to Delaware County which still has the majority of its votes outstanding (about 70%+). Currently of the votes counted there (including early votes), the Repub has a slim lead. So, it could be a nail biter! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 If I'm not mistaken, this whole thing gets "relitigated" in 3 months, no? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 12 minutes ago, concha said: If I'm not mistaken, this whole thing gets "relitigated" in 3 months, no? Yup Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Hearing 13 Franklin precincts out and nearly 80 in Delaware Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 I'm thinking it might actually be good for the R to lose. Given the "enthusiasm gap", the Pubs need a fire lit under.... . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rufus69 Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, concha said: I'm thinking it might actually be good for the R to lose. Given the "enthusiasm gap", the Pubs need a fire lit under.... . It's ALWAYS good for Pubs to lose !!!!! Rufus>> 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 The Democrat's candidate circa 2060... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 12 minutes ago, Bormio said: Hearing 13 Franklin precincts out and nearly 80 in Delaware Looks like the Republican will win by less than a percent based on what's still out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 1200 gain for Dem, but Franklin now in. Dem up 200 with 55 Delaware precincts out. GOP up 4000 in Delaware Election Day vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Turnout light - 220K predicted, will not see 190K. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 GOP eeks it out, Red Sox hit a 3-run HR in the 10th. My work is done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted August 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 BALDERSON THE REPUBLICAN HAS WON!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted August 8, 2018 Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 1 minute ago, HSFBfan said: BALDERSON THE REPUBLICAN HAS WON!!!!! Never a doubt 😜 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted August 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 8, 2018 Just now, Bormio said: Never a doubt 😜 Bullshit lol it got hairy for a while. Been watching the results for 3 straight hours. And in Missouri more people voted Republican than Democrat in the McCaskill Hawley primaries Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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