BigDrop Posted February 15, 2017 Report Share Posted February 15, 2017 Trump continues to enjoy approximately a 75 to 80% approval rating from Republicans around the U. S. This can vary from state to state but it is a significant percentage. His overall approval rating is the lowest ever of any president taking office but this is primarily because of disapproval from Democrats and Independents. I will also note that members of the House have a two year term while Senators have a six year. This is not as simple as it may sound: most Senators do not have to run for office for a number of years while Representatives will probably start their campaign in a little over a year. As long as Trump is heavily favored by the Republican base they are not going to challenge him for fear of their own re-election. Senators have more security and more time to challenge Trump. The result is that most Republicans in the House will tolerate a great deal before they take a stand. Trump knows this. Also, any public hearing concerning Trump (especially one where there are subpoenas) will generate a great deal of publicity, none of it positive for the Republican party which, as noted, continues to support him. Again, of course if they stop supporting him, they may threaten their own re-election. No matter how many fiascos Trump is involved in-that all seem will be his last-there are more to come. He once said that he could walk down Fifth Avenue and shoot someone and nobody would do a thing. Now he's thinking about Pennsylvania Avenue, too. For those of us who believe at some point he will be stopped I must note the current odds, revised today, on Ladbroke's for his impeachment or leaving office early: even money! http://news.ladbrokes.com/politics/american-politics/donald-trump-white-house-impeachment-odds-fall-into-evens.html A week or so ago it was 11-10. Donald Trump Specials DONALD TRUMP SPECIALS To visit UK before the end of 20172/7 NOT to be re-elected as President in 20201/2 To serve full term4/5 To leave office via impeachment or resignation before end of 1st term1/1 To visit Russia before the end of 20175/4 NOT to visit UK before the end of 20175/2 To win 2017 Nobel Peace Prize50/1 Donald Trump’s odds of leaving office via impeachment or resignation have been cut. The 45th President of the United States is now Evens from 11/10, to leave the Oval Office during his first term. Trump saw US National Security advisor Michael Flynn resign this week after misleading White House officials over discussions with Russia. And the Republican’s odds of lasting his full term have also drifted out from 8/11 to 4/5. It’s also odds-on at 1/2 that Trump is not re-elected in 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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