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2019 Comp Poll (Final Poll of 2019)


dntn31

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14 hours ago, dntn31 said:

You'd have to ask Ken Massey. Looking at his site, the game against Clarkson isn't listed, so I'm guessing that's just a flaw with his algorithm - that it's constrained to only consider data points between two US teams. 

CalPreps seems to have a similar limitation. They at least have the game listed, but Iggy is still sitting at #32, so it appears that game had minimal impact, if any at all.

CP has no rating for Clarkson, thus no performance rating for the game... similar to Massey.  Looks like Clarkson faces IMG this week.  

Not sure how, but Joe Pinko's (FL algorithm source) somehow predicts games between OOS schools vs.  a FL school... this week he projects Edgewater beating Marietta by 1 and Rockledge beating Iggy by 4.   A few weeks back this source predicted MNW beating Lowndes by 14.   

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The comp poll has been updated.

New:
28 Carroll (Southlake, TX)
T-37 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)

Dropped Out:
21 Central (Miami, FL)
36 Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)
43 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)

Most Positions Gained:
+14 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
+10 St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH)
+10 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)
+5 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA)

Most Points Gained:
+18 Carroll (Southlake, TX)
+9 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
+9 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
+9 Longview (Longview, TX)
+9 Marietta (Marietta, GA)

Most Positions Lost:
-27 Central (Miami, FL)
-12 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
-10 De Smet Jesuit (St. Louis, MO)
-10 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)
-10 Centennial (Corona, CA)

Most Points Lost:
-30 Central (Miami, FL)
-10 St. Joseph Regional (Montvale, NJ)
-8 De Smet Jesuit (St. Louis, MO)
-7 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)

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4 minutes ago, AztecPadre said:

Why did Cen10 drop 10 spots after beating Santiago 63-0?

They are only ranked by CalPreps and went from 20 to 25 and 5 points is a lot near the bottom of the composite rankings. CalPreps is pretty volatile (at least relative to human polls) and it's not unusual to see teams fluctuate like this despite winning a game, especially when it's against a much lower ranked team.

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The comp poll has been updated.

New:
24 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)

Dropped Out:
23 Eastside Catholic (Sammamish, WA)
31 St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH)
40 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA)

Most Positions Gained:
+27 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
+10 St. Edward (Lakewood, OH)
+9 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)
+6 Bixby (Bixby, OK)
+6 Centennial (Corona, CA)

Most Points Gained:
+26 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
+15 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
+15 St. Edward (Lakewood, OH)
+12 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)
+11 Carroll (Southlake, TX)

Most Positions Lost:
-23 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-23 Eastside Catholic (Sammamish, WA)
-15 St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH)
-9 Highland Springs (Highland Springs, VA)
-6 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA)

Most Points Lost:
-77 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-30 Eastside Catholic (Sammamish, WA)
-11 St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH)
-8 St. Joseph's Prep (Philadelphia, PA)
-6 Highland Springs (Highland Springs, VA)

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The comp poll has been updated.

Note: PrepNation currently has 26 teams in their poll (2 teams listed at #23). I'll keep an eye on the rankings to see if Jamie posts a correction and update the comp poll accordingly.

New:
39 Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)
43 Cherry Creek (Greenwood Village, CO)
44 Punahou (Honolulu, HI)

Dropped Out:
15 St. Joseph Regional (Montvale, NJ)
36 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
38 Bixby (Bixby, OK)
41 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)

Most Positions Gained:
+11 Centennial (Corona, CA)
+8 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
+7 McEachern (Powder Springs, GA)
+6 Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)
+5 St. Edward (Lakewood, OH)

Most Points Gained:
+25 McEachern (Powder Springs, GA)
+13 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
+13 Carroll (Southlake, TX)
+12 Longview (Longview, TX)
+12 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
+12 Centennial (Corona, CA)

Most Positions Lost:
-30 St. Joseph Regional (Montvale, NJ)
-15 Marietta (Marietta, GA)
-10 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)
-9 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
-7 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
-7 Bixby (Bixby, OK)

Most Points Lost:
-54 St. Joseph Regional (Montvale, NJ)
-42 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)
-35 IMG Academy (Bradenton, FL)
-31 Marietta (Marietta, GA)
-14 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)

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The comp poll has been updated.

New:
36 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)
39 Washington (Massillon, OH)
43 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
43 Elder (Cincinnati, OH)

Dropped Out:
28 Thompson (Alabaster, AL)
31 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
37 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)
43 Punahou (Honolulu, HI)

Most Positions Gained:
+7 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)
+5 Oakland (Murfreesboro, TN)
+4 Washington (Massillon, OH)
+4 Male (Louisville, KY)

Most Points Gained:
+7 Corner Canyon (Draper, UT)
+5 Lowndes (Valdosta, GA)
+5 North Shore (Houston, TX)
+5 St. Edward (Lakewood, OH)
+5 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)

Most Positions Lost:
-17 Thompson (Alabaster, AL)
-14 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
-8 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)

Most Points Lost:
-15 Thompson (Alabaster, AL)
-12 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
-7 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
-7 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)

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3 hours ago, GardenStateBaller said:

@ECHS05 How soon can Lowndes and McEach play? Thx. 

Umm....  Looking at it ... 

McEachern has their Region locked down 100%.

If Lowndes beats Colquitt on Friday, Lowndes & McEachern would meet in the Semifinals.

If Lowndes loses to Colquitt on Friday, they would meet in the State Championship.

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2 minutes ago, ECHS05 said:

Umm....  Looking at it ... 

McEachern has their Region locked down 100%.

If Lowndes beats Colquitt on Friday, Lowndes & McEachern would meet in the Semifinals.

If Lowndes loses to Colquitt on Friday, they would meet in the State Championship.

McEacherns playoff path will look like....

Rd 1: North Paulding or loser of this Fridays Tift Co/Camden Co game

Rd 2: Brookwood/Norcross/North Forsyth

Rd 3: North Gwinnett (great game)

Semifinals: Lowndes/Grayson

Finals: Colquitt/Archer/Hillgrove/Marietta

 

Too many people writing off Hillgrove... They really beat McEachern regardless of what the score read at the end because of a blind ref.

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The comp poll has been updated.

You'll probably be wondering why Narbonne had such a large jump this week. The reason is due to the fact that both Narbonne and Lone Peak had to forfeit their game from August 31 (which Lone Peak won 41-21 on-the-field). CalPreps apparently ignores the on the field result for double forfeits while it does not ignore the on the field-result where only one team forfeits. As a result, CalPreps is treating Narbonne as effectively 8-0-1 on the field (0-9 on paper). This is similar to how it failed to handle Iggy's loss to Clarkson from Canada. It's just a weak-spot or edge case that the algorithm isn't designed to account for.

New:
31 Archbishop Rummel (Metairie, LA)
35 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)
36 Muskego (Muskego, WI)
39 Punahou (Honolulu, HI)
44 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)

Dropped Out:
16 Curtis [John] (River Ridge, LA)
39 Washington (Massillon, OH)
43 Elder (Cincinnati, OH)

Most Positions Gained:
+13 Archbishop Rummel (Metairie, LA)
+9 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)
+9 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)
+8 Muskego (Muskego, WI)

Most Points Gained:
+12 Mission Viejo (Mission Viejo, CA)
+12 Archbishop Rummel (Metairie, LA)
+10 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
+8 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)

Most Positions Lost:
-9 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)
-9 Centennial (Corona, CA)
-8 Washington (Massillon, OH)
-5 Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)

Most Points Lost:
-53 Curtis [John] (River Ridge, LA)
-22 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)
-10 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)
-7 North Shore (Houston, TX)
-7 Centennial (Corona, CA)

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The comp poll has been updated.

It looks like CalPreps corrected the issue with Narbonne. Maybe Ned reads this thread? 😄 Otherwise, a pretty quiet week.

New:
40 Kahuku (Kahuku, HI)
42 Washington (Massillon, OH)
42 Lone Peak (Highland, UT)
45 Armwood (Seffner, FL)

Dropped Out:
35 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)
41 Centennial (Corona, CA)
44 Guyer [John H.] (Denton, TX)
46 Highland Springs (Highland Springs, VA)

Most Positions Gained:
+9 Punahou (Honolulu, HI)
+6 Kahuku (Kahuku, HI)
+4 Washington (Massillon, OH)
+4 Lone Peak (Highland, UT)

Most Points Gained:
+12 St. John's (Washington, DC)
+9 St. Edward (Lakewood, OH)
+8 Punahou (Honolulu, HI)
+7 Lakeland (Lakeland, FL)

Most Positions Lost:
-12 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)
-9 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-6 Centennial (Corona, CA)
-4 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)

Most Points Lost:
-17 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-8 Narbonne [Nathaniel] (Harbor City, CA)
-7 McEachern (Powder Springs, GA)
-5 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)

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The comp poll has been updated.

New:
23 Centennial (Corona, CA)
27 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
29 New Palestine (New Palestine, IN)
35 Valley (West Des Moines, IA)
37 Derby (Derby, KS)
38 Mount St. Joseph (Baltimore, MD)
49 Lincoln-Way East (Frankfort, IL)
49 Elder (Cincinnati, OH)

Dropped Out:
30 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
42 Washington (Massillon, OH)
42 Lone Peak (Highland, UT)
45 Armwood (Seffner, FL)

Most Positions Gained:
+23 Centennial (Corona, CA)
+21 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
+17 New Palestine (New Palestine, IN)
+11 Valley (West Des Moines, IA)

Most Points Gained:
+30 Centennial (Corona, CA)
+18 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
+15 New Palestine (New Palestine, IN)
+8 Valley (West Des Moines, IA)

Most Positions Lost:
-21 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-9 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)
-9 Washington (Massillon, OH)
-9 Lone Peak (Highland, UT)

Most Points Lost:
-13 Lakeland (Lakeland, FL)
-12 Gonzaga (Washington, DC)
-12 Longview (Longview, TX)
-12 De La Salle (Concord, CA)

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The comp poll has been updated.

Some insane movement this week thanks to lots of good matchups and upsets. One thing to note  is that Massey is not yet factoring in the St. John's/Good Counsel game. I've seen his rankings fail to include games that finish later in the weekend (even some late Saturday evening Hawaii games that finish on "Sunday Morning" eastern time). I'll continue to monitor his rankings but I'm guessing they won't include that game until next week.

 

New:
20 Armwood (Seffner, FL)
26 Corona del Mar (Newport Beach, CA)
33 North Gwinnett (Suwanee, GA)
36 Central (Phenix City, AL)
39 Washington (Massillon, OH)
41 Covington Catholic (Park Hills, KY)
43 St. Peter's Prep (Jersey City, NJ)
46 East St. Louis (East St. Louis, IL)
46 Thompson (Alabaster, AL)
48 Saguaro (Scottsdale, AZ)
48 Martin [James] (Arlington, TX)
51 Grayson (Loganville, GA)

Dropped Out:
11 Lakeland (Lakeland, FL)
14 Allen (Allen, TX)
18 Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV)
21 Longview (Longview, TX)
27 Mallard Creek (Charlotte, NC)
30 Muskegon (Muskegon, MI)
35 Valley (West Des Moines, IA)
41 DeMatha (Hyattsville, MD)
41 Colquitt County (Norman Park, GA)
47 Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH)
47 Kahuku (Kahuku, HI)

Most Positions Gained:
+30 Armwood (Seffner, FL)
+24 Corona del Mar (Newport Beach, CA)
+22 Northwestern (Miami, FL)
+17 North Gwinnett (Suwanee, GA)
+16 De Smet Jesuit (St. Louis, MO)

Most Points Gained:
+36 Carroll (Southlake, TX)
+29 Our Lady of Good Counsel (Olney, MD)
+28 Armwood (Seffner, FL)
+18 Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
+18 Northwestern (Miami, FL)

Most Positions Lost:
-41 Lakeland (Lakeland, FL)
-38 Allen (Allen, TX)
-34 Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV)
-31 Longview (Longview, TX)
-25 Mallard Creek (Charlotte, NC)

Most Points Lost:
-86 Lakeland (Lakeland, FL)
-62 Allen (Allen, TX)
-43 Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV)
-37 Longview (Longview, TX)
-22 St. John's (Washington, DC)

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