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College football upset of the week


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14 hours ago, steeler01 said:

Two very different offensive philosophies though. One is spread, the other isn't

 

Sure.

But if you have a reliable passing game - no matter the scheme - it makes it difficult to pack the box.  

Not the kind of situation a DC wants to have when facing Jonathan Taylor.

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51 minutes ago, concha said:

 

Sure.

But if you have a reliable passing game - no matter the scheme - it makes it difficult to pack the box.  

Not the kind of situation a DC wants to have when facing Jonathan Taylor.

.

Wisconsin relies on their running game to pass.  They're not a team that thrives on downs when the defense knows they will be passing.  They need the element of surprise. 

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2 minutes ago, steeler01 said:

Wisconsin relies on their running game to pass.  They're not a team that thrives on downs when the defense knows they will be passing.  They need the element of surprise. 

 

More than tOSU, yes. We'll see.

Of note is that Wisco has a very solid o-line.  They do just about every year, which speaks to depth also.  Sparty may have issues as the game progresses getting worn down.

The main point is that I don't think MSU will score much. Their offense is not particularly strong, especially in the run game. I get that Wisco's schedule to date has not been strong. But Sparty's offense is ranked #81 in total offense. Wisco is #1 in total defense.

Add that Wisco is at home and has something to play for.

I will concede that their games against common opponent Northwestern favor MSU, but Wisco was coming off the Michigan game the week before.

 

Again, we'll see.

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58 minutes ago, concha said:

 

More than tOSU, yes. We'll see.

Of note is that Wisco has a very solid o-line.  They do just about every year, which speaks to depth also.  Sparty may have issues as the game progresses getting worn down.

The main point is that I don't think MSU will score much. Their offense is not particularly strong, especially in the run game. I get that Wisco's schedule to date has not been strong. But Sparty's offense is ranked #81 in total offense. Wisco is #1 in total defense.

Add that Wisco is at home and has something to play for.

I will concede that their games against common opponent Northwestern favor MSU, but Wisco was coming off the Michigan game the week before.

 

Again, we'll see.

I don't think anyone that's watched MSU the last couple of years expects them to score much(Unless they get turnovers).

 

I think the game stays close throughout(old school big 10 game). Wisconsin's only opportunity to blow them out is through turnovers as well.  I expect MSU to lose by 10 or less.

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13 hours ago, steeler01 said:

Wisconsin

Also, I wouldn't touch that Texas game.  That's a really fishy line

I like Wisconsin at camp Randall. They cover more often than not at home at a higher rate than all but maybe 5–10 teams in the country 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/home-field-advantage-college-football-spread-betting

 

Red River game will be a shoot out like always ... my thinking is LSU was favored by 4.5 ish against Tx in Austin. Give tx 3 ish for being home that night. 

& Imo LSU is better then Oklahoma so give me the 11 with tx on neutral field. 

I think ok should be favored by 8/8.5 

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5 hours ago, Mjd33 said:

I like Wisconsin at camp Randall. They cover more often than not at home at a higher rate than all but maybe 5–10 teams in the country 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/home-field-advantage-college-football-spread-betting

 

Red River game will be a shoot out like always ... my thinking is LSU was favored by 4.5 ish against Tx in Austin. Give tx 3 ish for being home that night. 

& Imo LSU is better then Oklahoma so give me the 11 with tx on neutral field. 

I think ok should be favored by 8/8.5 

MSU matches up

 

That's exactly why that line is fishy

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On 10/9/2019 at 3:21 PM, THS2011 said:

Are they out again? 

Also my fun parlays this week are
Texas +10.5 & Maryland -3

TexasA&M +17.5 & Wisconsin -11

ND Over 58 & LSU under 55

Saints +1 & LAC under 41

Mine...

Alabama -17 & Eastern Michigan -1.5

Texas Tech +11 , Army -4.5, & Notre Dame -10.5 

Texas +10.5, & Eastern Michigan -1 (didnt mean to do EMU twice but oh well)

Virginia (+110) Straight Bet

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Sportsline "A" bets... (Yes I was dumb enough to pay monthly for this)

Miss St. -6.5 (vs Tenn)

Eastern Mich. -1.5 (vs Ball St)

Ohio (-246) Straight Bet (vs Northern Ill)

BYU/USF Under 50.5

Alabama -17 (vs TAMU)

West Virginia +10 (vs Iowa St)

Texas Tech +11 (vs Baylor)

Nevada (-140) Straight Bet  (vs San Jose St.)

Army -4.5 (vs Western Kentucky)

Wake Forest (-251) Straight Bet (vs Louisville)

Navy (-114) Straight Bet (vs Tulsa)

Kentucky (-252) Straight Bet (vs Arkansas) (this one actually seems dangerous to me)

Notre Dame -10.5 (vs USC)

San Diego St. (-165) Straight Bet (vs Wyoming)

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All my bets... Probably went a little overboard on the # of them...

 

Washington St. PK

Washington -6

Tennessee +5.5 (bc I think they are better with Maurer at QB)

Wisconsin -9.5

Florida +14

Florida St. +26.5

5 team Parlay - Washington St. PK, Washington -6, Tennessee +5.5, Wisconsin -10, Penn St./Iowa over 43.5

2 team Parlay - Alabama -17, Eastern Michigan -1.5

3 team Parlay - Texas Tech +11, Army -4.5, Notre Dame -10.5

2 team Parlay - Texas +10.5, Eastern Michigan -1

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