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Wednesday, September 16 Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Was

ok little boy.... back to your homework now.   PS: and don't forget to practice your flute 👍

Just got back with my older boy from casting our ballots against the Forces of Evil. 👍  

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9 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

U can open carry at the polling places jn Michigan. 

Michigan judge strikes down ban on open carry of guns at polling places on Election Day

 

and why is that a good thing??...so little weak men can act like tough guys??....guns at polling sites makes NO SENSE...why would anyone need a gun to vote??....🤡

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1 hour ago, DBP66 said:

and why is that a good thing??...so little weak men can act like tough guys??....guns at polling sites makes NO SENSE...why would anyone need a gun to vote??....🤡

It is a good thing because the person issuing it did not follow the law.  I know - Democrats don’t see that as a hindrance

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6 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

@Bormio

Zeta cuts short early voting in Florida Republican strongholds

Escambia, Okaloosa and Santa Rosa counties will have truncated hours.

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/10/27/hurriane-zeta-florida-early-voting-432984

The panhandle people will vote, either now or on Election Day.  No worries.

My brother lives in Ft Walton Beach.  Would crawl over broken glass while on fire to vote for Trump

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2 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

But will hurt cutting into the numbers before elecrion day

Voting early just cannibalizes your Election Day vote.  I think Democrats have done that more this year.  GOP has 270,000 more voters left in Florida who have voted in the last 4 elections, but not yet voted in this one compared to the Democrats.  Those are near certain voters.

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1 minute ago, Bormio said:

Voting early just cannibalizes your Election Day vote.  I think Democrats have done that more this year.  GOP has 270,000 more voters left in Florida who have voted in the last 4 elections, but not yet voted in this one compared to the Democrats.  Those are near certain voters.

I just saw that RCP average has trump winning florida by .4 so like u said everything is pointing to trump winning florida 

Now he should go after minnesota and Nevada 

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North Carolina looks to be having a typical early vote.  Dems up 10 points. But it matters which Dems.  Black turnout is off and a slew of rural white Democrats will vote for Trump.  NC is one southern state with a large Democrat registration advantage, but many vote GOP in federal elections.  On election night, Democrats will start with a 6-8% lead in the state when early vote is counted first.  Then watch that lead melt away and flip.

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21 minutes ago, Bormio said:

N8orth Carolina looks to be having a typical early vote.  Dems up 10 points. But it matters which Dems.  Black turnout is off and a slew of rural white Democrats will vote for Trump.  NC is one southern state with a large Democrat registration advantage, but many vote GOP in federal elections.  On election night, Democrats will start with a 6-8% lead in the state when early vote is counted first.  Then watch that lead melt away and flip.

I thiuggt I was putting those poll articles in this thread

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I find it very hard to believe Trump wins Florida but loses Georgia.  Sort of like Trump winning Pennsylvania but losing Ohio.  Neither makes sense.  Georgia is very conservative outside the Atlanta area and generally the Democrat cannot overcome the huge GOP lead (around 500,000+) with the metro Atlanta vote.  If they get a really whipped up black vote, maybe.  But Georgia statewide has been the Democrats’ white whale.

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Biden is beating Trump by an unbelievable 17 points in new Wisconsin poll

 
 
Peter Weber
Wed, October 28, 2020, 7:50 AM EDT
 
 
dc207b9888e7e1ddefa09e436e0febbe

A Washington Post/ABC News poll of Wisconsin and Michigan released Wednesday morning had good news for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. In Michigan, the poll found him beating President Trump by a modest 7 percentage points among likely voters, 51 percent to 44 percent, within the margin of error. But Biden's lead in Wisconsin was 17 points among both likely and registered voters, a lead so large The Washington Post suggested it might be "significantly more bullish for Biden than some other public polls" because of "variation in random sample surveys."

Biden's Wisconsin lead in the RealClearPolitics average is 5.5 points (49.8 percent to 44.3 percent), and FiveThirtyEight puts Biden ahead by 7.1 points, 51.4 percent to 44.3 percent. RealClearPolitics also gives Biden a 9-point lead in Michigan (50.5 percent to 41.5 percent), while FiveThirtyEight pegs it at 8.3 points, 50.9 percent to 42.6 percent. Biden has led in both states for months now; Trump won both by narrow margins in 2016 — 10,704 votes out of 4.8 million cast in Michigan and 22,748 out of 3 million votes in Wisconsin.

Trump's approval rating and poll numbers are down in both states compared with the last Washington Post/ABC News poll, and the pollsters attribute his especially precipitous fall in Wisconsin — Biden led by just 6 points in mid-September — to the COVID-19 pandemic. Wisconsin is "now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53 percent increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations, and a 112 percent jump in deaths," ABC News reports. And the polls bear that out: Biden now leads Trump by 20 points on who Wisconsin voters trust to handle the outbreak, from 7 points in September.

Biden's lead is also fueled in both states by double-digit leads among women and majorities of older voters.

 

The polls were conducted via phone, mostly cellphones, Oct. 20-25 among 789 likely voters in Michigan and 809 likely Wisconsin voters. The margin of sampling error in both states is ± 4 percentage points.

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