Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Just now, HSFBfan said: Trump has Florida Gotta worry about arizona wi and pa Nothing in the battlegrounds is settled until election night or later. And worrying about states is kinda pointless - the results are the results (except make sure the Democrats don’t cheat). Most elections have a surprise state - I hope it isn’t one of the big GOP southern states (Minnesota would be great). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, Bormio said: And that is with Dem voters this year saying they were voting early almost exclusively You just made this up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bormio said: Nothing in the battlegrounds is settled until election night or later. And worrying about states is kinda pointless - the results are the results (except make sure the Democrats don’t cheat). Most elections have a surprise state - I hope it isn’t one of the big GOP southern states (Minnesota would be great). trump is sending everyone he know plus himself to minnesots next couple days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: You just made this up. Every poll done on the subject has indicated Democrats are going to vote at a much higher rate by mail this year. And they normally do so in Florida anyway. The GOP has voted at a high rate early in Florida as well - a couple points behind the Democrats. And I think this is a good sign. GOP voters that are going to diss Trump are really likely to just stay home. But so far GOP voters are turning out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bormio said: Every poll done on the subject has indicated Democrats are going to vote at a much higher rate by mail this year. And they normally do so in Florida anyway. The GOP has voted at a high rate early in Florida as well - a couple points behind the Democrats. And I think this is a good sign. GOP voters that are going to diss Trump are really likely to just stay home. But so far GOP voters are turning out. Arizona so far same thing. The dems are mailing in all their ballots Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bormio said: Every poll done on the subject has indicated Democrats are going to vote at a much higher rate by mail this year. You said almost exclusively. Do you know what that means? You just pulled that straight out of you ass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bormio said: But so far GOP voters are turning out. Which undermines your claim about the Democrats almost exclusively voting early and it being to the Republicans advantage. How can that be if the Republicans are turning out in the early vote? This is amateurish stuff from you. Florida has 3.6 million NPA voters. It's practically pointless to be counting early vote by party ID. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Atticus Finch said: You said almost exclusively. Do you know what that means? You just pulled that straight out of you ass. 2/3 - 3/4 of Democrats in Florida will vote early Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bormio said: 2/3 - 3/4 of Democrats in Florida will vote early So far the early vote is about 56% of 2016 Democratic turnout. Republicans are 53% right now. Again, your analysis is pointless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Atticus Finch said: So far the early vote is about 56% of 2016 Democratic turnout. Republicans are 53% right now. Again, your analysis is pointless. BS. There were 9.1 million votes in Florida in 2016. There have been 7.7 million votes cast already in 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bormio said: BS. There were 9.1 million votes in Florida in 2016. There have been 7.7 million votes cast already in 2020. I should have clarified early vote. The nerds over at the election atlas are way better at this stuff than you. I promise. https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=407463.1225 Dems 56.4% (+2.8 ) Reps 53.9% (+3.7) NPAs 40.2% (+3.0) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bormio said: BS. There were 9.1 million votes in Florida in 2016. There have been 7.7 million votes cast already in 2020. And this makes no sense in comparison to what I said. Read it again. This was the total early vote this morning. Dems 2,991,015 (40.5%) Reps 2,784,101 (37.7%) Other 1,604,955 (21.7%) = 7,380,071 Again, trying to extrapolate anything from this without knowing who the 1.6 million NPAs voted for is stupid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: I should have clarified early vote. The nerds over at the election atlas are way better at this stuff than you. I promise. https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=407463.1225 Dems 56.4% (+2.8 ) Reps 53.9% (+3.7) NPAs 40.2% (+3.0) Mail votes and in person votes now are all early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Just now, Bormio said: Mail votes and in person votes now are all early. Correct. And? You're still confused as usual. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 So far: 3.095 million D 2.93 million R 1.59 million NPA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, Bormio said: 1.59 million NPA Marist had Biden +16 with independents. University of North Florida had him +10. 🤷♂️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 5 hours ago, Blueliner said: Quick and honest question. What’s your take on all of the censorship going on against conservatives? ...and please don’t say that there is no there there. Thanx. There is none, honest. It is an attempt to stop disinformation... lies. People like you belive it and act on it. That is not healthy for the country. Not trying to sound harsh but I think you finally understand I do value honesty and there is no way to sugar coat it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Poitico People Are Going To Be Shocked’: Return of the ‘Shy’ Trump Voter? In 2016, pollsters Arie Kapteyn and Robert Cahaly saw Trump coming. In 2020, they see polls again underestimating his support. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/magazine/2020/10/29/2020-polls-trump-biden-prediction-accurate-2016-433619 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 minute ago, HSFBfan said: Poitico People Are Going To Be Shocked’: Return of the ‘Shy’ Trump Voter? In 2016, pollsters Arie Kapteyn and Robert Cahaly saw Trump coming. In 2020, they see polls again underestimating his support. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/magazine/2020/10/29/2020-polls-trump-biden-prediction-accurate-2016-433619 In other words Trafalgar. 💩 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blueliner Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 hour ago, noonereal said: There is none, honest. It is an attempt to stop disinformation... lies. People like you belive it and act on it. That is not healthy for the country. Not trying to sound harsh but I think you finally understand I do value honesty and there is no way to sugar coat it. Sorry, bro. I had to give you a thumbs down on principle alone. And not to mention...nooner...please perform a cerebral-anal extraction immediately. I beg of you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 hour ago, HSFBfan said: Poitico People Are Going To Be Shocked’: Return of the ‘Shy’ Trump Voter? In 2016, pollsters Arie Kapteyn and Robert Cahaly saw Trump coming. In 2020, they see polls again underestimating his support. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/magazine/2020/10/29/2020-polls-trump-biden-prediction-accurate-2016-433619 I don't buy it.... the closet TRump voter has been out for years now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted October 30, 2020 Report Share Posted October 30, 2020 Trump is up almost 3 in Michigan Traflager Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BUFORDGAWOLVES Posted October 30, 2020 Report Share Posted October 30, 2020 2 hours ago, Atticus Finch said: Correct. And? You're still confused as usual. Propofol is my guess, giddy with that and idiocy. bgw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted October 30, 2020 Report Share Posted October 30, 2020 13 minutes ago, noonereal said: I don't buy it.... the closet TRump voter has been out for years now... you’d be surprised. Suburban women and black men probably don’t announce it to the world. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted October 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 30, 2020 Sign In | Subscribe Ad-Free Election Polls | President Polls | State Polls | Senate Polls | House Polls | Governor Polls | Approval Polls | All Latest Polls Friday, October 30 Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread Florida: Trump vs. Biden Trafalgar Group (R)* Biden 47, Trump 50 Trump +3 Nevada: Trump vs. Biden Trafalgar Group (R)* Biden 49, Trump 47 Biden +2 Thursday, October 29 Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Trafalgar Group (R)* Biden 47, Trump 49 Trump +2 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen vs. Hawkins IBD/TIPP Biden 50, Trump 45, Jorgensen 2, Hawkins 1 Biden +5 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 48, Trump 47 Biden +1 General Election: Trump vs. Biden The Hill/HarrisX Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4 General Election: Trump vs. Biden USA Today/Suffolk Biden 52, Trump 44 Biden +8 Florida: Trump vs. Biden The Hill/HarrisX Biden 50, Trump 47 Biden +3 Florida: Trump vs. Biden NBC News/Marist Biden 51, Trump 47 Biden +4 Florida: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 45, Trump 42 Biden +3 Florida: Trump vs. Biden Monmouth* Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6 Iowa: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 46, Trump 47 Trump +1 Minnesota: Trump vs. Biden SurveyUSA Biden 47, Trump 42 Biden +5 Minnesota: Trump vs. Biden Trafalgar Group (R)* Biden 48, Trump 45 Biden +3 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden The Hill/HarrisX Biden 51, Trump 46 Biden +5 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 51, Trump 44 Biden +7 Arizona: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 45, Trump 49 Trump +4 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden UMass Lowell* Biden 48, Trump 48 Tie North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Biden 48, Trump 45 Biden +3 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden The Hill/HarrisX Biden 49, Trump 48 Biden +1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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