Jump to content

The latest poll numbers...


DBP66

Recommended Posts

African - American early vote in North Carolina down from 21% to 19.5% from 2016 to now.  This is key, because Democrats have a large registration advantage in the state, but a lot of white Democrats vote GOP in federal elections.  If Trump sews up Florida, NC and Arizona, he is not home, but close.

Democrat EV advantage in 2016 was 310,000.  Now is 270,000 and falling.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Bormio said:

African - American early vote in North Carolina down from 21% to 19.5% from 2016 to now.  This is key, because Democrats have a large registration advantage in the state, but a lot of white Democrats vote GOP in federal elections.  If Trump sews up Florida, NC and Arizona, he is not home, but close.

Democrat EV advantage in 2016 was 310,000.  Now is 270,000 and falling.

Good. If the blacks don't come out it will be easier for trump to win 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said:

 

While technically true, Jon Ralston has been spot on predicting Nevada for years doing this very thing.  Early voters are typically more partisan.  The fact is if the GOP early turnout in Florida essentially ties the Democratic turnout, the GOP turnout advantage on Election Day will be enough to overcome any advantage the NPA vote gives the Democrats.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...