TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 18, 2021 Report Share Posted December 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, SeaShells21 said: I wish I wouldve went to Target.... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 18, 2021 Report Share Posted December 18, 2021 Ima whoop my own ass later for doing this... She's holding my wallet hostage... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeaShells21 Posted December 18, 2021 Report Share Posted December 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, TheMaximumHornetSting said: Ima whoop my own ass later for doing this... She's holding my wallet hostage... I’m so sorry ☹️ I’d be just happy with a Christmas bear. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 18, 2021 Report Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 hour ago, SeaShells21 said: I’m so sorry ☹️ I’d be just happy with a Christmas bear. I volunteered for this... She's been holding it down and helping me... I havent been going into great detail but this year has been... A real kick in the balls... And she's been with me through Thick and thin... Hot and cold Sad and Happy... And she's never asked me for shit other than to stop leaving the toilet seat up... and drinking outta the OJ jug... In the long run this aint nothing... 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 18, 2021 Report Share Posted December 18, 2021 Merry Christmas @dntn31 You may be the champion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyswordsman Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 On 12/13/2021 at 3:31 PM, Cossacks said: Since there are 7 jockeying for the final top 5 positions and some guys may want some strategy, @HawgGoneIthas graciously agreed to let you DM your picks to him and he will post them after the Friday deadline. I'd like to order this ring for getting the most picks right (year total) in the pickem. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntn31 Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Week 17 Totals Final Overall Totals Thanks to @Cossacks for running a great Pickem. Until next year... 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cossacks Posted December 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Just now, dntn31 said: Week 17 Totals Final Overall Totals Thanks to @Cossacks for running a great Pickem. Until next year... Congratulations to @dntn31for the win. Strong finish! Thank you to all who participated. Always open for suggestions for improvement on how to run it! 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntn31 Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 pg_pickem_2021_line_race.mp4 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 8 hours ago, dntn31 said: Week 17 Totals Final Overall Totals Thanks to @Cossacks for running a great Pickem. Until next year... Go ahead and keep my seat warm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prepsbill65 Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Thanks to Cossacks..... very well run this years. Merry Christmas to everyone on here. Great time. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 @Cossacks thus was ran perfectly Next year ima do a college pickem 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
World Citizen Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Congrats @dntn31 Great job. Appreciate you keeping the points. @CossacksAppreciate you doing the pickems brother. It was fun. And to Massey...kick rocks. Loser. 🤣 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyswordsman Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Just now, World Citizen said: Congrats @dntn31 Great job. Appreciate you keeping the points. @CossacksAppreciate you doing the pickems brother. It was fun. And to Massey...kick rocks. Loser. 🤣 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cossacks Posted December 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Sammyswordsman said: Sorry, we’re not doing third place rings this year. But congrats on the 3rd place finish. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyswordsman Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 Just now, Cossacks said: Sorry, we’re not doing third place rings this year. But congrats on the 3rd place finish. What you talking 'bout holmes? We having a parade. pick em.pdf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cossacks Posted December 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, Sammyswordsman said: What you talking 'bout holmes? We having a parade. pick em.pdf 81.13 kB · 3 downloads It’s a confidence pick em, has been from day one. Total wins don’t matter in a confidence pick em, nobody cares. That’s like a baseball team saying, sure we lost, but we had more extra base hits. 😂 That’s the whole point, you need to have picking savy and balls, not just one. 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyswordsman Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 40 minutes ago, Cossacks said: It’s a confidence pick em, has been from day one. Total wins don’t matter in a confidence pick em, nobody cares. That’s like a baseball team saying, sure we lost, but we had more extra base hits. 😂 That’s the whole point, you need to have picking savy and balls, not just one. 😂 Whatever. I still picked the most winning teams no matter how you want to spin it. Not saying I am the "confidence" pick em winner. Congrats to Dntn for that great job. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMaximumHornetSting Posted December 19, 2021 Report Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Cossacks said: Sorry, we’re not doing third place rings this year. But congrats on the 3rd place finish. Hey I just want a shot in the head... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteshoes Posted December 20, 2021 Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 From someone who knows how much time it takes to prepare things for this site, your work is much appreciated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cossacks Posted December 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 33 minutes ago, whiteshoes said: From someone who knows how much time it takes to prepare things for this site, your work is much appreciated. @dntn31kept this thing on track all year. His scoring and follow up was great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wosinc Posted December 20, 2021 Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 On 12/18/2021 at 11:08 PM, Cossacks said: Congratulations to @dntn31for the win. Strong finish! Thank you to all who participated. Always open for suggestions for improvement on how to run it! Provide beer. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wosinc Posted December 20, 2021 Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 On 12/18/2021 at 11:29 PM, dntn31 said: pg_pickem_2021_line_race.mp4 6.81 MB · 0 downloads This is pretty neat. How did you work the confidence part into the Massey, Consensus, Calpreps, etc. ratings? I’m pretty sure they don’t weight their picks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntn31 Posted December 20, 2021 Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wosinc said: This is pretty neat. How did you work the confidence part into the Massey, Consensus, Calpreps, etc. ratings? I’m pretty sure they don’t weight their picks. Massey provides projected win%. I simply weighted those 1-10 and used mean projected score differential to break ties. Massey was at a slight disadvantage because there were a handful of games throughout the year that weren't listed on his site (I count 3 going back over all the weeks - and one that I had to fudge a bit because the teams were there but the matchup was on a Sunday - some SJC WCAC game in November I think). For the missing games, I just simply weighted them as 1 and then counted them as a loss for Massey (his fault that his data was incomplete). CalPreps provides projected scores but not projected win%. I weighted the matchups based on score differential and broke ties based on the team ratings differential. CalPreps only provided "official "projections starting October 1, so for the 6-7 weeks I had to wing it a bit with them (and partially explains their poor showing). I screwed up a bit by forgetting that the "Project a Matchup" tool was a thing for the first few weeks (which allows you to create "unofficial" projections even for the current year), so in the very beginning it was based strictly on ratings differential but then switched over once I remembered and then finally switched over to their "official" projections after Oct 1. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntn31 Posted December 20, 2021 Report Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, dntn31 said: CalPreps provides projected scores but not projected win%. I weighted the matchups based on score differential and broke ties based on the team ratings differential. CalPreps only provided "official "projections starting October 1, so for the 6-7 weeks I had to wing it a bit with them (and partially explains their poor showing). I screwed up a bit by forgetting that the "Project a Matchup" tool was a thing for the first few weeks (which allows you to create "unofficial" projections even for the current year), so in the very beginning it was based strictly on ratings differential but then switched over once I remembered and then finally switched over to their "official" projections after Oct 1. Also, FWIW, CalPreps out-picked everybody Week 9 forward. 😂 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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