HSFBfan Posted July 10, 2018 Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 https://www.axios.com/poll-democrats-2018-midterms-senate-5eb4075f-4325-46aa-bda5-699b814d9dd7.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zulu1128 Posted July 10, 2018 Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 They have little shot of taking the House. They have ZERO chance of taking the Senate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted July 10, 2018 Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 I would not say zero shot. There are vulnerable GOP seats (Az, Nv). The Democrats could get lucky - they have a slew of vulnerable incumbents, but none are truly beat yet. The odds are low, but probably better than 5%. Shit happens - ask HRC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted July 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bormio said: I would not say zero shot. There are vulnerable GOP seats (Az, Nv). The Democrats could get lucky - they have a slew of vulnerable incumbents, but none are truly beat yet. The odds are low, but probably better than 5%. Shit happens - ask HRC I think az is gonna flip which sucks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted July 10, 2018 Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, HSFBfan said: I think az is gonna flip which sucks. The GOP has a contentious primary going on. They will get a nominee in August - the polling should improve then. But I see a lot of vulnerable Dems that could eke out wins. Manchin in WV, Nelson in Fla, McCaskill in Mo, even Donnelly in Indiana. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted July 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, Bormio said: The GOP has a contentious primary going on. They will get a nominee in August - the polling should improve then. But I see a lot of vulnerable Dems that could eke out wins. Manchin in WV, Nelson in Fla, McCaskill in Mo, even Donnelly in Indiana. Nelson is in trouble in florida. Scott is doing very well. I agree with you about Manchin even though trump won the state by what 30. Democrats should lose north Dakota. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted July 10, 2018 Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 Just now, HSFBfan said: Nelson is in trouble in florida. Scott is doing very well. I agree with you about Manchin even though trump won the state by what 30. Democrats should lose north Dakota. The Dakotas are funny. Red states that have often had Dem senators. The lady is an incumbent - always worth a couple of points. She is good at not getting too out of line in her state. Not a slam dunk. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted July 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bormio said: The Dakotas are funny. Red states that have often had Dem senators. The lady is an incumbent - always worth a couple of points. She is good at not getting too out of line in her state. Not a slam dunk. I think florida and ND goes Republican. I think az goes Democrat idk why they would want too. November is gonna be very interesting. Unfortunately I live in NY that will be under democratic rule until it's a complete cesspool Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 The story on this election is not yet written. Senate races tend to break one way. If the GOP holds Nv and Az, they could gain 5 seats. Lose them with the Dems getting a small late surge - a bunch of incumbents in the mid-40s could get pushed over the line. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zulu1128 Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 GOP will have a net gain in the Senate of 1-2 seats. Feel free to head down to the bank and fill out a deposit slip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 28 minutes ago, zulu1128 said: GOP will have a net gain in the Senate of 1-2 seats. Feel free to head down to the bank and fill out a deposit slip. That is a good bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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