golfaddict1 Posted October 5, 2023 Report Share Posted October 5, 2023 Decided to include both mentions @Warrior First the USD (ticker UUP performance 6 mo and 5 yr charts. China’s economy is not pretty currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted October 5, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 5, 2023 I’ve mentioned multiple times about “safety net” money market and/or short term treasuries being ideal for quite awhile and yesterday was another spike to treasuries. I’ve been loading up on this hybrid 2/3 MM/cash instruments and 1/3 Highly rated corp bonds. No junk bonds and ultra short term. 5.62% 30 day yield just updated minutes ago from upper 5.4% range. Just one more fyi to all and money markets (MM) are ideal to park cash. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted October 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 I’ll just piggyback here… https://www.investors.com/news/jobs-report-hiring-surge-boosts-federal-reserve-rate-hike-odds-sp-500-falls/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted October 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 6, 2023 https://www.investors.com/news/exxon-mobil-near-60-billion-deal-for-shale-giant-pioneer-natural-resources-wsj/ Anyone remember when they were called Esso? I had a flashback of a AAA map from way back in time. This is big time. XLE is a popular etf for the energy sector. Exxon is looking to buy #7 on the list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted November 1, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2023 Fed chair Powell’s update speech today, followed by Q and A session seemed to have gone well for Wall St ears. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted November 3, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2023 Found guilty on all charges last night. Sentencing phase, we will have to wait for some time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted November 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2023 I like challenges and I’m fully transparent. Like they say about mechanics, they keep all customers happy, but their own vehicles still need work usually. I manage my kids portfolios and wife and I. Different goals and targets. Son - heavy crypto, no cash, tech w earnings Daughter - Tech heavy, large cap growth heavy, high pct cash Wife/I: Preservation, growth/income secondary The bottom # is actual (top # is if I made no changes). I’m not happy with Wife/I 1 year perf. It’s 48.5% of my target index goal. That’s crap and I’ve been playing catch up since May. The bottom # is below actual, which means my tinkering sucked. I’m closing in, but have work to do. My YTD is about 60 pct of target index goal, which I’m cool with. By year end, l’d like to see this get to 65%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted November 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2023 💪 🙌🏼 Core CPI at 2 year low per CNBC. The market is cranking. 😮 Good news, $ for all! Enjoy your 401K and IRA balance rise in next month’s mailed statement (barring international shit hit fan worsening) Bad news, my goal of 65% perf on my target index by end of year is likely shot. Days like this, I’m lucky to get 50% of target index. I’m safety net focused and that can’t compete on petal to the metal days. My son will be negative on the day pretty badly, due to crypto being down. My daughter should do better than me, as she has less cash and bonds than I do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted November 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2023 Small cap companies tend to need more cash infusion and loans at higher rates clearly is not good. Hence, why small caps are flying today (over 4% plus, per above chart box as of around 1 pm est). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted December 2, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 2, 2023 Thru 12/1 Son, daughter, *Wife/I *62% of index for 1 yr now. Doing better. Not as painful to look at. Morningstar market index is my target goal (mostly large cap, 100 pct equities). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted December 4, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Better but still work to do. EVERY state should be offering a finance class in HS. Video below with data https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/12/04/making-the-grade-in-financial-literacy-more-states-require-students-to-take-personal-finance-course.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader12-0 Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 34 minutes ago, golfaddict1 said: Better but still work to do. EVERY state should be offering a finance class in HS. Video below with data https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/12/04/making-the-grade-in-financial-literacy-more-states-require-students-to-take-personal-finance-course.html Finance/Economics should be one of the most important subjects in any school. That is something every person will use in their life. The same can’t be said about physics. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 71% for wife and I on Morningstar’s index target and 66% for S&P500 index. I’m pleased overall. Nov/Dec was a solid Santa Claus rally. Crypto aided my son’s performance for 2023, passing 100% and I beat the S&P500 with my daughter’s portfolio, with no crypto and a money market balance. I’m pleased with 2023 overall. Onto 2024 starting at 0.00 % tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 3 Author Report Share Posted January 3 The “market” thus far in 2024 is angry my friends… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 10 Author Report Share Posted January 10 False alarm, but latest news seems to be that a decision will be made tomorrow, possibly after closing. https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-sec-has-not-approved-bitcoin-etfs-social-media-account-compromised-2024-01-09/ #bitcoinetf? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 11 Author Report Share Posted January 11 21 hours ago, golfaddict1 said: False alarm, but latest news seems to be that a decision will be made tomorrow, possibly after closing. https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-sec-has-not-approved-bitcoin-etfs-social-media-account-compromised-2024-01-09/ #bitcoinetf? As expected, it was approved after closing. Ethereum cranked today on the expected news. Eventually, they’ll be Ethereum ETF’s, as long as the Bitcoinetf’s run smoothly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 13 Author Report Share Posted January 13 Uranium https://www.bbc.com/news/business-67939708 https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/frances-nuclear-power-boom-may-curb-regional-power-emissions-2024-01-10 I’m not selling shares in 2024. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 15 Author Report Share Posted January 15 It’s been very volatile since buying, but if the 3 viewers who read this thread have a strong stomach…. the recent news in the Red Sea plus wicked dividend yields may be an option to boost your portfolio. I’ve never owned shares in a stock with such low volume as Hapag Lloyd AG, and due to this, there is a wide disparity between buy/sell NAV and it fluctuates a lot without the NAV even budging at times, which is frustrating. Just 1% position, but if a big dip occurs, it will rise up to maybe 2%, we’ll see. This nuisance likely won’t be ending anytime soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 15 Author Report Share Posted January 15 3 hours ago, golfaddict1 said: It’s been very volatile since buying, but if the 3 viewers who read this thread have a strong stomach…. the recent news in the Red Sea plus wicked dividend yields may be an option to boost your portfolio. I’ve never owned shares in a stock with such low volume as Hapag Lloyd AG, and due to this, there is a wide disparity between buy/sell NAV and it fluctuates a lot without the NAV even budging at times, which is frustrating. Just 1% position, but if a big dip occurs, it will rise up to maybe 2%, we’ll see. This nuisance likely won’t be ending anytime soon. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/15/red-sea-vessel-off-the-coast-of-yemen-struck-by-missile-uk-says.html Thankfully, no injuries sustained. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted January 15 Author Report Share Posted January 15 https://x.com/malcolmnance/status/1747017628810375489?s=46&t=Ub_4ZB--blmAW22AUOdwqQ 👀 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted April 4 Author Report Share Posted April 4 @ChimpGrip Retirement survey caught my eye the other day. https://news.northwesternmutual.com/planning-and-progress-study-2024 Scroll down and click on “Work, retirement & taxes” for the ‘24 year to view. 👀 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted April 5 Author Report Share Posted April 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted April 6 Author Report Share Posted April 6 @ChimpGrip as mentioned prior on this side, my goal is to track the Morningstar market index (1300 plus companies, mostly large cap with small cap holdings). My up to date data thru Friday. The first chart is the MS Market index. The 2nd chart is the S&P500 index (no fees on these not traded indexes) vs my included expense fees reduced performance, plus my cash gain from money markets isn’t included in my performance either. Thats 2 strikes against me. Had a crappy 2022 and 2023 was improving mid year. Since, I’m very pleased. The overall is not my overall. It’s from maybe 7-8 years back. Many years of full throttle 100 pct equities is not included, unfortunately. My 3 year chart is having issues showing and @Bormiounderstands. 😂 (prior mention you made and partly true). Sold MSTR last week for a sweet gain and also sold DVN for an 18 pct gain, fairly quickly. The neg showing intraday is from ethe buys before a later dip. So I start Monday a tad neg. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfaddict1 Posted June 2 Author Report Share Posted June 2 @DarterBlue Updated through May. Past 1 year performance… First chart is vs MSTAR index (no expense fee and not traded) 2nd chart is vs S&P500 (no expense fee and not traded) 25.01% 1 yr. Total return (top row) is my performance without trades, expense fees included. Personal return (middle row) is my actual return (with trading updates). Expense fees deducted in my perf. Approx .82% currently as ETHE is my top holding at 2% expense fee). Onto June Casino, where my first step is moving 5% from equities to bonds as soon as 2 mutual funds liquidate and transfer. I’m feeling the need for a little more safety net in the coming months. I have enough in equities to hold the fort, just more a preservation of capital vs market timing choice and having the benefit of 5% plus no risk gains while the Fed contemplates a first rate cut in 2024, which may not even happen once in 2024 vs the 6 cuts projection, as you recall I’m sure end of 2023. I switched out ICSH in April and started positions in JAAA and JBBB, both CLO’s as my core bonds position. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarterBlue Posted June 2 Report Share Posted June 2 Your returns are stunningly similar to mine. YTD I am up 17%; however, over the past 12 months, I am up 26.1%. The losses from August through late October offset to some degree the strong gains I had from late October through the end of March 2024, and my rebound in May off of a poor April. Unlike you, though, I am very bullish currently. I strongly feel that over the next two months we will have significant gains. The fact that the market had violated key support Friday but rallied back to close mostly positive and above the support levels, augurs strongly for a very strong close to the spring and into at least early to mid summer. Of course, our volatile political situation could be a wild card that may not be factored fully into current pricing. I agree that the Fed is now unlikely to cut rates this year. However, I do believe the next move is to lower rates. I think the April "correction" reflected the market's revision of its rate cut expectations. I also think that the feeling now is that earnings growth will offset the increased discount factor from rates staying high in the intermediate term. Therefore, I am currently 90% long and hope that I will be vindicated. Of course, being an active trader, if the market acts poorly, I will very quickly reduce my exposure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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