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Biden losing support with black men


Bormio

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10 hours ago, Bormio said:

… so is waiving rule banning mentholated cigarettes until after the election.  Damn, they are really worried.  I was dreading this election, but I think the potential for some amazing comedy is growing by the day.

 

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Another thread where Bormio muses but provides no evidence for anything.

Fortunately, I'm here to provide evidence of Bormio's track record of crack election analysis.

This is just regarding 2018 midterms.

👇

On 11/5/2018 at 6:06 PM, Bormio said:

I am beginning to sense Democratic disquiet.

Reality: It was a blue wave.

On 11/5/2018 at 6:30 PM, Bormio said:

I do think the needle is moving towards better news for the GOP.

Reality: Things only got worse.

On 11/6/2018 at 8:28 PM, Bormio said:

Looks like you were right, HSFB.  It is 2016 all over again

Reality: HSFB was never right about anything and it wasn't 2016 again.

On 11/6/2018 at 8:50 PM, Bormio said:

Will Pelosi resign - she sure as hell won't be minority leader again

Reality: She did not, but chalk one up for Bormio here. She wasn't minority leader again. She was Speaker.

On 11/6/2018 at 10:02 PM, Bormio said:

If you give Pelosi a 3-4 seat majority, and balance that with 3 Senate seats and winning the Georgia and Florida governor races - that is a very, very good night for the GOP.

Reality: It was a 36 seat majority.

On 11/7/2018 at 2:23 AM, Bormio said:

Montana is close - GOP ahead.  Could end up with 56 Senate seats.  Schumer has got to be spitting nails.

Reality: Dem won Montana and Republicans ended up with 53 seats.

On 11/7/2018 at 10:40 AM, Bormio said:

Not great to lose the House for the GOP, but not a disaster.  And will likely end up helping Trump in 2020.

Reality: It was a disaster and it didn't help Trump.

On 11/7/2018 at 11:09 AM, Bormio said:

It will be around 33-35 seats in the end

Reality: It was 41 seats.

On 11/7/2018 at 11:52 AM, Bormio said:

GOP will be +3 in the Senate.

Reality: They were +2.

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And by popular demand, here's 2020 election musings by our man @Bormio.

👇

On 11/3/2020 at 7:38 PM, Bormio said:

Trump’s campaign people are way underrated - they are fucking brilliant

Reality: They were not.

On 11/3/2020 at 9:01 PM, Bormio said:

Mail in - Biden will lead by 750,000.  And Trump will likely win.

Reality: He did not.

On 11/3/2020 at 9:40 PM, Bormio said:

 GOP is retaining the Senate

Reality: They lost the Senate.

On 11/3/2020 at 9:47 PM, Bormio said:

Trump up almost 200,000 in Michigan.  Never led Hillary by that much.  He will win Michigan I fully expect.

Reality: He did not.

On 11/3/2020 at 9:49 PM, Bormio said:

Polling died forever tonight.  Morning Consult, Quinnapiac and several others should shut down forever

Reality: It did not.

On 11/3/2020 at 9:57 PM, Bormio said:

Where’s Canes?  Bitch won’t show his face for months

Reality: He showed his face the next day.

On 11/3/2020 at 10:14 PM, Bormio said:

The Democrat party should burn in hell for doing this to Biden.  But they will blame him.

Reality: The Democratic Party did not, in fact, burn in hell for making Biden *checks notes* President.

On 11/3/2020 at 10:35 PM, Bormio said:

I think he wins Pennsylvania, but Michigan plus either Virginia or Wisconsin is enough

Reality: He did not win Pennsylvania.

On 11/3/2020 at 10:57 PM, Bormio said:

Michigan lead is Detroit-proof.  Georgia lead is likely Atlanta proof (Trump may win only by 100K votes or so).

Reality: Neither lead was [insert city]-proof.

On 11/3/2020 at 11:25 PM, Bormio said:

Irrelevant, but with the margin in Ohio and Michigan - he will win it. 

Reality: He did not.

On 11/3/2020 at 11:28 PM, Bormio said:

Scott Adams basically said we are about an hour from mass suicide on TV

Reality: The creator of Dilbert is an idiot.

On 11/3/2020 at 11:38 PM, Bormio said:

But Trump is gonna win Wisconsin, Iowa and the election

Reality: He didn't win Wisconsin or the election.

On 11/4/2020 at 2:52 AM, Bormio said:

Democrats delaying the inevitable.  They don't have the votes in Wisconsin, Michigan or Georgia.  

Reality: They did have the votes in all three states.

On 11/4/2020 at 2:54 AM, Bormio said:

They don't have the votes in Georgia.

Reality: They had the votes in Georgia.

On 11/4/2020 at 7:29 AM, Bormio said:

The Senate result was good - a brutal cycle.  Mitch will be a big player.  

Reality: Republicans lost the Senate. 

On 11/5/2020 at 1:52 PM, Bormio said:

With a GOP Senate and a GOP-lite House, Biden should go play golf.

Reality: There was no GOP Senate.

On 11/5/2020 at 7:36 PM, Bormio said:

Saved the Senate. 

Reality: They did not.

On 11/5/2020 at 7:54 PM, Bormio said:

For those who think that Georgia is a Democrat state, wait till you see what happens in the Senate runoffs.

Reality: We watched. The Democratic candidates won.

On 11/30/2020 at 9:35 PM, Bormio said:

Combined with probable failure to gain the Senate and losses in state legislatures (critical to redistributing), very poor result for Democrats down ballot. 

Reality: Democrats won the Senate.

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