zulu1128 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Someone here said that 8 months ago. Let me go look and see who it was. 😎 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Get back with us in November. 6 months is still a long time. At this rate the republican cheerleaders are going to be burnt out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Gimme a R! Gimme an E! Gimme a P! Gimme a U! Gimme a B! Gimme a L! Gimme an I CAN! Well... I thought I CAN. 😆 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zulu1128 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 hour ago, HawgGoneIt said: Get back with us in November. 6 months is still a long time. At this rate the republican cheerleaders are going to be burnt out. Says the guy who bought a surfboard 6 months ago. 🤣 You’re probably not the most credible person to be busting balls on this topic, but whatevs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 2 hours ago, HawgGoneIt said: Get back with us in November. 6 months is still a long time. At this rate the republican cheerleaders are going to be burnt out. I love the irony from the Hysterical Middle School Girl Posse. Never gets old. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FolsomPrisonBlues Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Dem sweeps everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 For the Senate, Sabato's Crystal Ball has: Rep: 49 safe Dem: 44 safe Toss-ups: 7 (5 of the 7 are currently Dem seats) For the House... (218 needed for control) Rep: 210 safe (-25) Dem: 198 safe (+5) Toss-ups: 27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 https://insideelections.com/ratings/house For Republicans: Safe: 183 Tilt Rep: 15 Lean Rep: 10 Likely Rep: 19 TOTAL: 227 (218 needed for control) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FolsomPrisonBlues Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Dems got this in the bag! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, concha said: https://insideelections.com/ratings/house For Republicans: Safe: 183 Tilt Rep: 15 Lean Rep: 10 Likely Rep: 19 TOTAL: 227 (218 needed for control) Nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, HSFBfan said: Nice The media assault on Trump is finally losing steam and the RNC is flush with cash after out-raising the DNC for eons now... Per OpenSecrets, the DNC has ~$9M in cash on hand. The RNC has ~$43M. LMAO. The Generic Ballot gap between Reps and Dems is now at +5.2% for the Dems per the RCP poll average. It was at +13 points to start the year. The "wave" is looking more and more like this: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, concha said: The media assault on Trump is finally losing steam and the RNC is flush with cash after out-raising the DNC for eons now... Per OpenSecrets, the DNC has ~$9M in cash on hand. The RNC has ~$43M. LMAO. The Generic Ballot gap between Reps and Dems is now at +5.2% for the Dems per the RCP poll average. It was at +13 points to start the year. The "wave" is looking more and more like this: CNN put out a poll that had Dems +1. If CNN has this at pretty much a dead heat I feel very good for the republicans. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 13 minutes ago, HSFBfan said: CNN put out a poll that had Dems +1. If CNN has this at pretty much a dead heat I feel very good for the republicans. Given the last election, I have full confidence in the Democratic Party to face plant again. Could you imagine if the Republicans actually make GAINS? . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, concha said: Given the last election, I have full confidence in the Democratic Party to face plant again. Could you imagine if the Republicans actually make GAINS? . Let the screaming at the sky part 2 commence LMAOOOO I would throw a big party if that were to happen esp in the senate. Idk what the democrats can possibly campaign on. We hate that people have more money for themselves?? We hate that Korea is uniting? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 If the Dems are less than +3-4, the GOP will retain the House. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 6 hours ago, concha said: Given the last election, I have full confidence in the Democratic Party to face plant again. Could you imagine if the Republicans actually make GAINS? . Dems did in ‘98. Gingrich resigned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 hour ago, Bormio said: If the Dems are less than +3-4, the GOP will retain the House. Election forecasters already have it as unlikely and the momentum is heading in the wrong direction for the Dems. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, concha said: Election forecasters already have it as unlikely and the momentum is heading in the wrong direction for the Dems. . I am always skeptical of House party preference polling. In ‘94, a couple of weeks out there were pills that showed the GOP momentum had stalled and that they were likely to gain about 20 seats. They got 52 - the Dem revival was a dead cat bounce. GOP faces some redistributing issues in Pennsylvania and my understanding is a few GOP seats in California are dicey. But the Dems have had a bad couple of months, they are overplaying Trump, and Pelosi is a walking cadaver. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Bormio said: I am always skeptical of House party preference polling. In ‘94, a couple of weeks out there were pills that showed the GOP momentum had stalled and that they were likely to gain about 20 seats. They got 52 - the Dem revival was a dead cat bounce. GOP faces some redistributing issues in Pennsylvania and my understanding is a few GOP seats in California are dicey. But the Dems have had a bad couple of months, they are overplaying Trump, and Pelosi is a walking cadaver. PA 7 and PA 5 are the races to watch tonight. Polls close at 8pm EST Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted May 17, 2018 Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 RCP Generic poll now down to +4.7 for the Dems. That's down over 8 points since the New Year... . 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 17, 2018 Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 10:13 AM, concha said: The media assault on Trump is finally losing steam and the RNC is flush with cash after out-raising the DNC for eons now... Per OpenSecrets, the DNC has ~$9M in cash on hand. The RNC has ~$43M. LMAO. The Generic Ballot gap between Reps and Dems is now at +5.2% for the Dems per the RCP poll average. It was at +13 points to start the year. The "wave" is looking more and more like this: RCP has the generic poll at 4.7 Democrats. The number is fallen quite rapidly towards the Republican side Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 17, 2018 Report Share Posted May 17, 2018 7 minutes ago, concha said: RCP Generic poll now down to +4.7 for the Dems. That's down over 8 points since the New Year... . Sorry I didnt see you posted it as I posted it again. What a gain so far for the Republicans Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 19, 2018 Report Share Posted May 19, 2018 @Bormio @concha RCP has it today +4 Dems......the dems lead is dissipating very very quickly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FolsomPrisonBlues Posted May 19, 2018 Report Share Posted May 19, 2018 13 minutes ago, HSFBfan said: @Bormio @concha RCP has it today +4 Dems......the dems lead is dissipating very very quickly. Ya, and everyone also had Hillary winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted May 19, 2018 Report Share Posted May 19, 2018 Just now, FolsomPrisonBlues said: Ya, and everyone also had Hillary winning. Yes I understand polls are absolutely flawed but those numbers cant br sitting well with the Democrats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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