Jump to content

NY Times admits Trump electoral edge is growing


HSFBfan

Recommended Posts

President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak.

His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis of election results and polling data.

That persistent edge leaves him closer to re-election than one would think based on national polls, and it might blunt any electoral cost of actions like his recent tweets attacking four minority congresswomen.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/07/19/upshot/trump-electoral-college-edge-.amp.html

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Blueliner said:

Barring election rigging by the dems or Trump getting caught on camera smoking meth, I personally think that Trump will win the pop vote and it'll be a massacre in the EC.

 

As we all know and have said who cares about the pop vote. It's all about the EC and it seems like the NY Times is insinuating that it's not going to be close. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

As we all know and have said who cares about the pop vote. It's all about the EC and it seems like the NY Times is insinuating that it's not going to be close. 

I just don't see any of those swing states buying into what the dems are selling these days. Unfortunately, still a lot of time before the election. You KNOW the desparate dems are going to pull out all of the stops to somehow discredit Trump. The good news is that, barring 45 getting caught with the pipe, he will win. Why? Because no rational American really believes the MSM these days. We all see the bias. The dems count on the DBPinata66's of the world to win. Thankfully, there's too many smart, America-loving Americans in those swing states. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Blueliner said:

I just don't see any of those swing states buying into what the dems are selling these days. Unfortunately, still a lot of time before the election. You KNOW the desparate dems are going to pull out all of the stops to somehow discredit Trump. The good news is that, barring 45 getting caught with the pipe, he will win. Why? Because no rational American really believes the MSM these days. We all see the bias. The dems count on the DBPinata66's of the world to win. Thankfully, there's too many smart, America-loving Americans in those swing states. 

I still worry about PA. But I think hes going to hold FL NC and Az. Gotta worry about MI as well.

If he flips MN that would obv be very helpful. He obv has the bible belt and the traditional red states.

I posted yesterday that volusia county fl I read that Republicans now have more registered voters there than the democrats. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

I still worry about PA. But I think hes going to hold FL NC and Az. Gotta worry about MI as well.

If he flips MN that would obv be very helpful. He obv has the bible belt and the traditional red states.

I posted yesterday that volusia county fl I read that Republicans now have more registered voters there than the democrats. 

I saw that. That's great news. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, HSFBfan said:

President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak.

His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis of election results and polling data.

That persistent edge leaves him closer to re-election than one would think based on national polls, and it might blunt any electoral cost of actions like his recent tweets attacking four minority congresswomen.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/07/19/upshot/trump-electoral-college-edge-.amp.html

Nice, the times backed off the Racist adgenda.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Scottdale said:

Oh, but the Electoral College! says Twitter, where confident young people educate me about their hero’s resilience in Midwestern battlegrounds where he snatched victory from popular-vote defeat in 2016. Thanks for that. Really.

Like, in Michigan, where Morning Consult puts Trump’s net approval at minus 12? Trump’s Michigan numbers haven’t been green in 26 months. Morning Consult says he’s doing two points worse than in October, before Republicans lost two House seats there and the governorship.

Trump’s polling in Wisconsin? He’s minus 13. In Iowa, minus 12, and his party lost two of its three House seats.

In Pennsylvania, birthplace of former Vice President and possible 2020 rival Joe Biden, Trump is minus 7, a point worse than last fall. Democrats won the generic House vote in Pennsylvania by 10 points.

How did those Pa, Michigan and Wisconsin polls work out last time?

  • Thanks 1
  • Like 1
  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Bormio said:

How did those Pa, Michigan and Wisconsin polls work out last time?

And like Biden’s going to beat Trump🤣. And like some of those economically depressed states are going to vote for socialists. Many are old school dems that actually, ya know, value working.. Those people want jobs. Not social welfare. 

I think there’s a lot of wishful thinking and grasping for straws for some. 🤣

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Bormio said:

How did those Pa, Michigan and Wisconsin polls work out last time?

 

Of course, our Imaginary Friend picks a poll that is by far the worst for Trump of all the eight currently included in the RCP poll average. 🤣  🤡

 

How are Dems doing these days?

 

Per a very recent Economist/YouGov poll (Very Favorable vs Very Unfavorable):

AOC  -14

Ilhan Omar  -16

Rashida Tlaib  -12

 

Per the RCP average, Nancy Pelosi is at -14 

 

Per RCP, Trump at -6.6, his best number since very early in his presidency.  👍  🍻  💪  🏆

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, concha said:

 

Of course, our Imaginary Friend picks a poll that is by far the worst for Trump of all the eight currently included in the RCP poll average. 🤣  🤡

 

How are Dems doing these days?

 

Per a very recent Economist/YouGov poll (Very Favorable vs Very Unfavorable):

AOC  -14

Ilhan Omar  -16

Rashida Tlaib  -12

 

Per the RCP average, Nancy Pelosi is at -14 

 

Per RCP, Trump at -6.6, his best number since very early in his presidency.  👍  🍻  💪  🏆

 

How is Biden doing per RCP? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Horsefly said:

How is Biden doing per RCP? 

HF. Come on, mang. Biden is not going to beat Trump. Biden would be annihilated in a debate with Trump. The far left would vote for him just because, and the rest or the sane citizens would not vote for a man who can't put 3 sentences together into a coherent thought nor man who has had his backbone surgically removed. He will likely not even make it out of primaries. Although, he SHOULD. He's the only halfway rational candidate on the left.  

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Blueliner said:

HF. Come on, mang. Biden is not going to beat Trump. Biden would be annihilated in a debate with Trump. The far left would vote for him just because, and the rest or the sane citizens would not vote for a man who can't put 3 sentences together into a coherent thought nor has a backbone. He will likely not even make it out of primaries. Although, he SHOULD. He's the only halfway rational candidate on the left.  

In a real debate where it’s not based on insults and slander trump wouldn’t do well

I never claimed Biden would win, only that he could make it closer.  

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Blueliner said:

HF. Come on, mang. Biden is not going to beat Trump. Biden would be annihilated in a debate with Trump. The far left would vote for him just because, and the rest or the sane citizens would not vote for a man who can't put 3 sentences together into a coherent thought nor man who has had his backbone surgically removed. He will likely not even make it out of primaries. Although, he SHOULD. He's the only halfway rational candidate on the left.  

We are also a long way from the elections and a lot can change sentiment by then.  The economy and war or escalated tensions with Iran for starters.    It’s all in how those things would be interpreted 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Horsefly said:

We are also a long way from the elections and a lot can change sentiment by then.  The economy and war or escalated tensions with Iran for starters.    It’s all in how those things would be interpreted 

Very true. Long ways to go. I have a feeling that A LOT is going to take place between now and then. You know everyone's holding an ace card on everyone to throw down when the time comes. It's a matter of who survives all of that. Trump's holding a lot of chips.

I like what Trump is doing with Iran. Now his administration is asking for help from the rest of our allies which is a GREAT idea. We'll see how it goes. Iran is getting pinched hard right now. That's why they're pulling this shit. But I'm always wary about desperate, cornered animals (metaphorically speaking) with nothing to lose. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, Horsefly said:

In a real debate where it’s not based on insults and slander trump wouldn’t do well

I never claimed Biden would win, only that he could make it closer.  

You're joking right?  I guess it's 5 o'clock somewhere! Trump's accomplishments in 4 years versus biden's accomplishments in 40 years would end the debate pretty quickly.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, I AM IRONMAN said:

You're joking right?  I guess it's 5 o'clock somewhere! Trump's accomplishments in 4 years versus biden's accomplishments in 40 years would end the debate pretty quickly.

The economy is showing signs it is stabilizing n not expanding much, tensions with Iran are escalating.   There is no deal with N Korea and the Mexican border security has worsened.   I’d pull back the reigns on his “great accomplishments”. until that time.    

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...