Atticus Finch Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 And it doesn't even matter that much because you don't know what percentage of Republicans are voting for Biden and vice versa. And you certainly don't know what the independent splits are going to be. The only data we have is Biden leading independents by ~12 on average and one source saying that Biden is getting 13% of Republican early vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Lindsey Graham says John Durham report coming after election, will be 'shocked' if no indictments https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/lindsey-graham-says-john-durham-report-coming-after-election-will-be-shocked-if-no-indictments%3f_amp=true 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: And it doesn't even matter that much because you don't know what percentage of Republicans are voting for Biden and vice versa. And you certainly don't know what the independent splits are going to be. The only data we have is Biden leading independents by ~12 on average and one source saying that Biden is getting 13% of Republican early vote. Keep telling yourself that all these Republicans are turning out early to vote in person against Trump. GOP turnout is sky high so they can vote against their party. And like no Democrats in Florida cross over. Try visiting north Florida once in a while. And who gives a shit with what some UCLA study says about national turnout and voting. Like that is relevant to Florida. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Just now, Bormio said: Keep telling yourself that all these Republicans are turning out early to vote in person against Trump. I'll tell myself whatever the available data suggests. Nobody makes stuff up more than you do. And there's a lot of competition for that just in the far right recesses of this board. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Bormio said: And like no Democrats in Florida cross over. They do. As I already admitted earlier. They voted for Trump in 2016 and many of them have change registration. Those are baked into the cake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bormio said: Try visiting north Florida once in a while. I've been to every county in Florida, Dr. Quack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bormio said: And who gives a shit with what some UCLA study says about national turnout and voting. Bormio makes something up = important! I show data = who cares!?! 😄 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Atticus Finch said: I'll tell myself whatever the available data suggests. Nobody makes stuff up more than you do. And there's a lot of competition for that just in the far right recesses of this board. The data right now suggests Biden is getting his ass kicked in Florida and I think they know it. I also think you know it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Just now, Bormio said: The data right now suggests Biden is getting his ass kicked in Florida and I think they know it. I also think you know it. It doesn't. Something else that you just made up. I'm shocked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownSouth Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 34 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: Why are you so bad at this? Oh, I know. Because you're just incompetent and dishonest. And that's without Miami-Dade County reporting. 🤡 A couple mail dumps should turn up tomorrow too - will likely add another couple thousand on top of the Dade votes that will report in the morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownSouth Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 16 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: It doesn't. Something else that you just made up. I'm shocked. I have no Idea where he gets this stuff. He’s banking on a massive red turnout on election day without realizing most of them decided to just vote early (in person). If Trump wins FL it’s going to be razor thin. Biden is probably up a few points if the majority of polls are correct on the breakdown of NPA’s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, DownSouth said: I have no Idea where he gets this stuff. He’s banking on a massive red turnout on election day without realizing most of them decided to just vote early (in person). If Trump wins FL it’s going to be razor thin. Biden is probably up a few points if the majority of polls are correct on the breakdown of NPA’s. He's the kind of guy who will say that Trump is kicking ass and then if he wins by 0.4% will say he told us so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 The GOP has 275,000 super voters left (4/4). The Democrats just over 100,000 and NPA around 75,000. The GOP has not cannibalized its vote as much as the Democrats by a long shot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Y’all better not take all those polls too literally, because they say almost no Democrats are planning on voting on Election Day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, Bormio said: The GOP has 275,000 super voters left (4/4). The Democrats just over 100,000 and NPA around 75,000. The GOP has not cannibalized its vote as much as the Democrats by a long shot. More wishful thinking. Almost 65% of registered voters will have already voted before Tuesday. There is much less wiggle room this year than in a normal cycle for Republican election day vote to overcome early vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Bormio said: Y’all better not take all those polls too literally, because they say almost no Democrats are planning on voting on Election Day. Something else that you just pulled straight of your ass. It's much easier to lie when you never cite anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blueliner Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Bormio said: Y’all better not take all those polls too literally, because they say almost no Democrats are planning on voting on Election Day. The voting lines will be miles long (so to speak) filled with people voting red. Take THAT to the effing bank. 👍 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 To give you some perspective this is what just one of these idiots was talking about 2 years ago at this time. On 10/23/2018 at 3:34 PM, HSFBfan said: The data suggests enthusiasm among early GOP voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a "blue wave" in the midterms. There was a blue wave. On 10/23/2018 at 3:37 PM, HSFBfan said: Republicans are leading in early voting in every article I've seen Oops. On 10/23/2018 at 5:04 PM, HSFBfan said: And in other great news.....ellison is losing in the polls for AG Ellison won by 3.6% and is the current Attorney General in Minnesota. On 10/23/2018 at 5:27 PM, HSFBfan said: If Republicans stay motivated they can win. Their early voting numbers are better than the Democrats Not. On 10/24/2018 at 3:36 PM, HSFBfan said: Yep. Republicans are on the surge in early voting. Nope. On 10/25/2018 at 10:37 AM, HSFBfan said: Republican gov candidate catching up and is looking like gaining steam in blue Connecticut https://www.theday.com/article/20181023/NWS12/181029729 The Democrat won by 3.2% and is the current Governor of Connecticut. On 10/26/2018 at 9:50 AM, HSFBfan said: Menendez in NJ is now in a toss up!!!! https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/413287-cook-moves-menendez-race-in-new-jersey-to-tossup Menendez won by 11%. On 10/27/2018 at 2:14 PM, HSFBfan said: Republicans are leading the way in early voting in arizona by 11 points https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.azcentral.com/amp/1777043002 Oops. On 10/28/2018 at 7:13 PM, HSFBfan said: Smart money on Republicans keeping the house https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2018/10/28/midterm-elections-betting-odds/1800052002/ It wasn't smart money. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said: Something else that you just pulled straight of your ass. It's much easier to lie when you never cite anything. Polls have said that for a couple months. And SttP netted y’all 800 votes today in person. Put lipstick on that pig. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 6 hours ago, Bormio said: Oh look, Biden is at 49.3% in the RCP Pa. average. For the terminally stupid, that is less than 50%. I just wanted to let you know that the new YouGov poll that just dropped has Biden +8 in Pennsylvania which pushes him to 50%. I know that you've been very concerned about this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 33 minutes ago, Bormio said: Polls have said that for a couple months. And SttP netted y’all 800 votes today in person. Put lipstick on that pig. I don't even know what this means but Democrats are now over 100,000 ballot advantage in Florida. Not that it matters much because a Biden win would entail slightly higher Republican votes + seniors + 10% or more independent margin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 40 minutes ago, Bormio said: Polls have said that for a couple months. And SttP netted y’all 800 votes today in person. Put lipstick on that pig. Again, how are you so incompetent? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atticus Finch Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 No Miami-Dade and reports that there are lines at Orange County EV sites that are 3 hours long. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSFBfan Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Trump up 6 in Ohio He won Ohio by 8 in 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bormio Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 I watched 2 Trump speeches yesterday-had not watched a stump speech in a while. The man is objectively a great retail politician - much better than most who do it all their lives. He treats his speech as a conversation - it has the rhythm of a conversation. It moves freely from subject to subject, not structured or seemingly planned. It draws the audience in. He is as good as Bill Clinton - who was a master at it. There is a bond between him and the listener. The realization is setting in among the chattering class. Trump is not dead. He has a very plausible path to win. It is not a Hail Mary. And they are very scared. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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