concha Posted December 9, 2021 Report Share Posted December 9, 2021 Rut roh... Folks finally recognizing the lies, bullshit and pandering for what it is? https://www.wsj.com/articles/hispanic-voters-now-evenly-split-between-parties-wsj-poll-finds-11638972769 Hispanic Voters Now Evenly Split Between Parties, WSJ Poll Finds Republicans have made rapid gains among a crucial voting demographic that has long favored Democrats One year after giving Democratic House candidates more than 60% of their vote, according to polls at the time, the Journal survey found that Hispanic voters are evenly split in their choice for Congress. Asked which party they would back if the election were today, 37% of Hispanic voters said they would support the Republican congressional candidate and 37% said they would favor the Democrat, with 22% undecided. Hispanic voters were also evenly divided when asked about a hypothetical rematch in 2024 of the last presidential contenders, with 44% saying they would back President Biden and 43% supporting former President Donald Trump. In 2020, Mr. Biden won 63% support among Hispanic voters, nearly 30 points more than Mr. Trump, according to AP VoteCast, a large survey of the presidential electorate. ‘Latinos are more and more becoming swing voters.…They’re a swing vote that we’re going to have to fight for.’ — Democratic pollster John Anzalone Hispanic voters account for about 1 in 8 eligible voters and are one of the fastest-growing groups in the electorate, factors that compound Democratic fears about any deterioration in support. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nolebull813 Posted December 9, 2021 Report Share Posted December 9, 2021 What’s ironic is minorities tend to live pretty conservative lives. Especially older ones. They are mostly religious people who work hard, earn their money and contribute to society. Most minorities (over 35) aren’t into abortions, illegal immigration, voter fraud, identity politics etc etc. The top thing that has been plaguing Republicans for a while is Democrats have a knack for lying about republicans being racist so much that they start believing it. They are starting to wake up. With it being the Information Age, it’s easy to find trends, statistics and stories of Democrat policies destroying minority communities. They are waking up to the lies that Republicans are racist. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 Per 538... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-hispanic-voter-problem-dfc The Democrats’ Hispanic Voter Problem It's Not As Bad As You Think—It’s Worse 1. In the most recent Wall Street Journal poll, Hispanic voters were split evenly between Democrats and Republicans in the 2022 generic Congressional ballot. And in a 2024 hypothetical rematch between Trump and Biden, these voters favored Biden by only a single point. This is among a voter group that favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by 26 points according to Catalist (two party vote). 2. In the same poll, Biden’s net approval rating among Hispanics was -12 (42 percent approval/54 percent disapproval), the latest in a string of poor approval ratings among Hispanics. Hispanics in the poll favor Republicans in Congress over Democrats on containing inflation and securing the border. They are strongly negative on the economy, with just 25 percent believing it is headed in the right direction, compared to 63 percent who believe it is headed in the wrong direction. 3. A recent 538 analysis of aggregated poll data shows that, while Biden has lost support among all racial groups in the last 9 months, the decline has been sharpest among Hispanics. 4. In Texas, perhaps the Democrats’ most prized target for their theory of the case, Biden’s ratings among Hispanics have been dreadful. A September Dallas Morning News poll had Biden's approval rating among Texas Hispanics at an anemic 35 percent vs. 54 percent disapproval--19 points underwater. His approval rating on handling immigration at the border was even worse--29 points underwater. The latter rating is similar to Biden’s rating on the same issue among Texas Hispanics in the more recent Texas Tribune poll. 5. In the hotly-contested 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, according to the AP-NORC VoteCast survey (more reliable than the highly flawed exit polls), Democrat Terry McAuliffe actually lost the Latino vote and also lost ground among black and “other race’ (chiefly Asian) voters. This deterioration of nonwhite support also can be seen in analysis of precinct-level results. 6. In the 2020 election, Hispanics, after four years of Trump, gave him substantially more support than they did in 2016. According to Catalist, in 2020 Latinos had an amazingly large 16 point margin shift toward Trump. Among Latinos, Cubans did have the largest shifts toward Trump (26 points), but those of Mexican origin also had a 12 point shift and even Puerto Ricans moved toward Trump by 18 points. 7. Latino shifts toward Trump were widely dispersed geographically. Hispanic shifts toward Trump were not confined to Florida (28 points) and Texas (18 points) but also included states like Wisconsin (20 points), Nevada (18 points), Pennsylvania (12 points), Arizona (10 points) and Georgia (8 points). 8. Pew validated voter data indicate particularly poor performance for Biden among working class (noncollege) Hispanics, with these voters giving Trump a remarkable 41 percent of their vote in 2020. A strong working class Hispanic shift is consistent with detailed precinct-level analysis of the 2020 vote in Hispanic (and Asian) neighborhoods released by the New York Times last December. These data assume special significance in light of the unusually heavy working class character of the Hispanic vote (around 80 percent). 9. You can even see the pro-Trump Hispanic shift in New York City. An excellent analysis by Matthew Thomas shows: Precincts where at least 50% of residents are Hispanic swung toward Trump by 18 points, with a quarter of voters now backing him for reelection. The shift was even more pronounced in precincts where at least 75% of residents are Hispanic, which had a swing of 25 points toward Trump. Out of all the ethnic enclaves in Queens, Hispanic areas showed the largest movement away from Democrats in 2020, a result consistent with national patterns. 10. It is hard to avoid the conclusion that Democrats have seriously erred by lumping Hispanics in with “people of color” and assuming they embraced the activism around racial issues that dominated so much of the political scene in 2020, particularly in the summer. This was a flawed assumption. The reality of the Hispanic population is that they are, broadly speaking, an overwhelmingly working class, economically progressive, socially moderate constituency that cares above all, about jobs, the economy and health care. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 LOL...the resident expert on Latinos ^.....🤡 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, DBP66 said: LOL...the resident expert on Latinos ^.....🤡 What is the name of the mental disorder for people who actively try to advertise their severe intellectual and cognitive limitations? Look on your doctor's clipboard. It will probably appear several times. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 1 minute ago, concha said: What is the name of the mental disorder for people who actively try to advertise their severe intellectual and cognitive limitations? Look on your doctor's clipboard. It will probably appear several times. you know all about Latinos....don't you?....LOL...🤡 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 24 minutes ago, DBP66 said: you know all about Latinos....don't you?....LOL...🤡 Much more than you. Look, Fuktard, you obviously have no retort to the fact that Hispanics are shifting right. So be honest with the class, are you just going to pull your usual village idiot routine as you have been, or can you come up with something actually substantive? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 27 minutes ago, concha said: Much more than you. Look, Fuktard, you obviously have no retort to the fact that Hispanics are shifting right. So be honest with the class, are you just going to pull your usual village idiot routine as you have been, or can you come up with something actually substantive? the Cubans in Fla. have always leaned right...due to all "socialists" talk led by the GOP...the Latinos in Texas aren't as gullible and will be leaning left....they saw Trump's policy of ripping families apart....look for Beto to with the Governor job next election due to the Hispanic vote...the hispanic vote in N.Y./ N.J. area is all to the left. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nolebull813 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, DBP66 said: the Cubans in Fla. have always leaned right...due to all "socialists" talk led by the GOP...the Latinos in Texas aren't as gullible and will be leaning left....they saw Trump's policy of ripping families apart....look for Beto to with the Governor job next election due to the Hispanic vote...the hispanic vote in N.Y./ N.J. area is all to the left. Ripping families apart? Did Rachel Maddow tell you that? 🤡 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, DBP66 said: the Cubans in Fla. have always leaned right...due to all "socialists" talk led by the GOP...the Latinos in Texas aren't as gullible and will be leaning left....they saw Trump's policy of ripping families apart....look for Beto to with the Governor job next election due to the Hispanic vote...the hispanic vote in N.Y./ N.J. area is all to the left. 1) Cubans - at least those not indoctrinated by government schools - know leftist idiots and the danger they pose. 2) The latest Quinnipiac poll has the idiot Beto down by 15 points to Abbott. 3) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, Nolebull813 said: Ripping families apart? Did Rachel Maddow tell you that? 🤡 reality told me that...he took kids and separated them from their families....FACT...you need to take your head out of the sand once in a while...🙄 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 19 minutes ago, concha said: 1) Cubans - at least those not indoctrinated by government schools - know leftist idiots and the danger they pose. 2) The latest Quinnipiac poll has the idiot Beto down by 15 points to Abbott. 3) like I said....76% of them voted Democratic...an overwhelming number. Nice chart you got there....The republicans have a loong way to go to gain traction in the northeast. Beto just threw his hat in the ring and when the abortion laws kick in it's over for the GOP...😉 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nolebull813 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, DBP66 said: the Cubans in Fla. have always leaned right...due to all "socialists" talk led by the GOP...the Latinos in Texas aren't as gullible and will be leaning left....they saw Trump's policy of ripping families apart....look for Beto to with the Governor job next election due to the Hispanic vote...the hispanic vote in N.Y./ N.J. area is all to the left. They might want to start looking elsewhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 Just now, Nolebull813 said: They might want to start looking elsewhere and gas prices just went DOWN 4 cents....the sky is not falling....😉 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nolebull813 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, DBP66 said: and gas prices just went DOWN 4 cents....the sky is not falling....😉 You are one warped stupid mother fucker 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 Just now, Nolebull813 said: You are one warped stupid mother fucker 😂 coming from you?....that's a compliment!.....😉 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 32 minutes ago, DBP66 said: like I said....76% of voted Democratic...an overwhelming number. Nice chart you got there....The republicans have a loong way to go to gain traction in the northeast. Beto just threw his hat in the ring and when the abortion laws kick in it's over for the GOP...😉 No. You said the Hispanic vote in NY/NJ is "all to the left". Clearly it is not. And it is headed in the wrong direction for the left. You are probably incapable if realizing this, but when a vote switches sides, the net result is +2 for the side the change benefits. It's -1 for Dems and +1 for Republicans. We're a long way off from NY/NJ changing sides, but in other states, including the critical swing state of Florida, a Hispanic shift to the right is devastating for you idiots. Abbott - Beto polling has been done at least since June. Abbott has always led. Texas is not one of the more pro-abortion states and the Hispanic population there is even less likely to support it. Do you ever get anything right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedZone Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 23 hours ago, concha said: Rut roh... Folks finally recognizing the lies, bullshit and pandering for what it is? https://www.wsj.com/articles/hispanic-voters-now-evenly-split-between-parties-wsj-poll-finds-11638972769 Hispanic Voters Now Evenly Split Between Parties, WSJ Poll Finds Republicans have made rapid gains among a crucial voting demographic that has long favored Democrats One year after giving Democratic House candidates more than 60% of their vote, according to polls at the time, the Journal survey found that Hispanic voters are evenly split in their choice for Congress. Asked which party they would back if the election were today, 37% of Hispanic voters said they would support the Republican congressional candidate and 37% said they would favor the Democrat, with 22% undecided. Hispanic voters were also evenly divided when asked about a hypothetical rematch in 2024 of the last presidential contenders, with 44% saying they would back President Biden and 43% supporting former President Donald Trump. In 2020, Mr. Biden won 63% support among Hispanic voters, nearly 30 points more than Mr. Trump, according to AP VoteCast, a large survey of the presidential electorate. ‘Latinos are more and more becoming swing voters.…They’re a swing vote that we’re going to have to fight for.’ — Democratic pollster John Anzalone Hispanic voters account for about 1 in 8 eligible voters and are one of the fastest-growing groups in the electorate, factors that compound Democratic fears about any deterioration in support. Are extra dumb people still dreaming of a donald comeback? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 57 minutes ago, concha said: No. You said the Hispanic vote in NY/NJ is "all to the left". Clearly it is not. And it is headed in the wrong direction for the left. You are probably incapable if realizing this, but when a vote switches sides, the net result is +2 for the side the change benefits. It's -1 for Dems and +1 for Republicans. We're a long way off from NY/NJ changing sides, but in other states, including the critical swing state of Florida, a Hispanic shift to the right is devastating for you idiots. Abbott - Beto polling has been done at least since June. Abbott has always led. Texas is not one of the more pro-abortion states and the Hispanic population there is even less likely to support it. Do you ever get anything right? 76% is as close to "all to the left" as you can get...it's not "headed" anywhere but to the left champ...the Texas abortion laws is going to end up with a big women's vote for the left...you'll see. Abbott the Trump boot licker?....who ordered an vote audit because Trump told him to?...another puppet on a string like Nunes. He needs to grow a pair....🤡 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
World Citizen Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 3 hours ago, DBP66 said: 76% is as close to "all to the left" as you can get...it's not "headed" anywhere but to the left champ...the Texas abortion laws is going to end up with a big women's vote for the left...you'll see. Abbott the Trump boot licker?....who ordered an vote audit because Trump told him to?...another puppet on a string like Nunes. He needs to grow a pair....🤡 I guess we should start restricting Americans from voting like the Republicans do. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 Again, Abbott is up 15 points in the latest poll. That is post announcement of the abortion law. There has not been a poll with Beto ahead. There is reality and then there is wherever Dimwit lives. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ga96 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 7 hours ago, Nolebull813 said: You are one warped stupid mother fucker 😂 Now I know you aren't talking like this. You are clearly the dumbest person on here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBP66 Posted December 10, 2021 Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 2 hours ago, concha said: Again, Abbott is up 15 points in the latest poll. That is post announcement of the abortion law. There has not been a poll with Beto ahead. There is reality and then there is wherever Dimwit lives. when did Beto enter the race champ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
concha Posted December 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2021 Just now, DBP66 said: when did Beto enter the race champ? I don't care. The polls are him vs Abbott https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/tx/texas-governor-abbott-vs-orourke-7376.html Polling Data Poll Date Sample MoE Abbott (R) O'Rourke (D) Spread RCP Average 10/14 - 12/6 -- -- 46.5 38.8 Abbott +7.7 Quinnipiac 12/2 - 12/6 1224 RV 2.8 52 37 Abbott +15 Dallas Morning News 11/9 - 11/16 1106 RV 3.2 45 39 Abbott +6 UT/Texas Tribune 10/22 - 10/31 1200 RV 2.8 46 37 Abbott +9 Rice University 10/14 - 10/27 1402 RV 2.6 43 42 Abbott +1 All Texas Governor - Abbott vs. O'Rourke Polling Data Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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