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148 days till Dooms Day for Georgia


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On 3/7/2018 at 5:23 AM, ECHS05 said:

No need for that. We Georgians are great sportsmen... We'll simply congratulate BC on a game well played, and wish them well the rest of the season.

That game is going to be close, no matter who wins.

Lol!!! Since When? If y'all lose I see thread after thread about how u really won. Lol

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44 minutes ago, TheBlockIsHot said:

Anyone can make up fake math. 

 

Anyone with a brain can also look and see it isnt fake math.

BTW I just did NorCals performance #s for their OOS... They are in dead last compared to the rest of the places Ive done as far as being OVERVALUED...

Totals now:

Arizona: +3.74 (Most undervalued)

Georgia: +2.68

Texas: +1.96

SoCal: -0.98

Arkansas: -2.92

NorCal: -3.17 (Most overvalued)

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3 hours ago, ECHS05 said:

Anyone with a brain can also look and see it isnt fake math.

BTW I just did NorCals performance #s for their OOS... They are in dead last compared to the rest of the places Ive done as far as being OVERVALUED...

Totals now:

Arizona: +3.74 (Most undervalued)

Georgia: +2.68

Texas: +1.96

SoCal: -0.98

Arkansas: -2.92

NorCal: -3.17 (Most overvalued)

Are you going to show us North GA and South GA since you split CA to fit your agenda?

Idiot. 

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11 hours ago, ECHS05 said:

J'Kori Jones has been there a while... Is he expected to take the reins?

Im talking about RM from NP. He was coming. No mo'.

Is it gonna be down to Jones or Dixon if no one else comes in?

Might be a little too late for a new QB ,but J’Kori has been their for a while may be the more experienced they also have a good rising 10th grade QB Ian Schieffelin at 6’6 210

 

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16 hours ago, TheBlockIsHot said:

Are you going to show us North GA and South GA since you split CA to fit your agenda?

Idiot. 

I think youre mad because NorCal is extremely low... Aka overvalued and underperformers. I was surprised SoCal did as well as they did... But the numbers say NorCal is the overrated section at CalPreps in relation to other states.

North California & South California really dont play each other much. 

Teams are scaled against the teams they play... Since SoCal teams play their majority of games vs other SoCal teams... Thats who they are scaled against. There may be a Nevada game or Utah game thrown in there, but its not enough to make much of a difference... Thats why Ned has finally started to manually scale the states according to how teams perform OOS vs. each teams rating.

-----

A good example of how it works.....

"SoCal Team A" played 12 total games, 11 of the games were vs. other SoCal teams and the other 1 was vs. a Utah team.

"Utah Team A" played 12 total games also, 11 of the games were vs. other Utah teams and the other 1 was vs. a SoCal team.

Well the SoCal team will be scaled mostly to SoCal, and the Utah team will be scaled most to Utah teams... Because thats what happens over time, your rating becomes your scale compared to the teams youve played. Obviously if the SoCal team played more Utah teams theyve begin to be scaled more and more to Utah... But thats not the case, we have to work with limited data, in this case being 1 game.

Back to the example ... So "SoCal Team A" defeated "Utah Team A" 35-21, by 14 points... So if thats accurate, "SoCal Team A" should be rated more or less 14 points higher than "Utah Team A" because thats how ratings work at CP. 

 Now looking at each teams rating after the season is over, "SoCal Team A" has a rating of , lets say, 59... While "Utah Team A" has a rating of 32... So...  "SoCal Team A" only won the actual game by 14, but has a rating 27 points higher than the Utah team.... Heres where the scaling comes in ---- what this suggests is, either the teams "SoCal Team A" were playing in SoCal were overvalued/overscaled allowing "SoCal Team A"s rating to be higher than it should be... Or "Utah Team A"s opponents in Utah were undervalued, and should be scaled higher on average.

Now thats a hard comparison to draw using just 1 game and 2 teams, so thats why I use every team and every OOS game.

 

But... NorCal and SoCal are easy to seperate because they dont play each other a lot. 

 

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8 hours ago, TheXFactor said:

Might be a little too late for a new QB ,but J’Kori has been their for a while may be the more experienced they also have a good rising 10th grade QB Ian Schieffelin at 6’6 210

 

You guys were about to get one in April though... It may be too late to go after one yeah. 

J'Kori has been there a while... But Grayson brought in a QB last year and tried to this year... Clearly they dont have a ton of confidence in him.

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30 minutes ago, ECHS05 said:

I think youre mad because NorCal is extremely low... Aka overvalued and underperformers. I was surprised SoCal did as well as they did... But the numbers say NorCal is the overrated section at CalPreps in relation to other states.

North California & South California really dont play each other much. 

Teams are scaled against the teams they play... Since SoCal teams play their majority of games vs other SoCal teams... Thats who they are scaled against. There may be a Nevada game or Utah game thrown in there, but its not enough to make much of a difference... Thats why Ned has finally started to manually scale the states according to how teams perform OOS vs. each teams rating.

-----

A good example of how it works.....

"SoCal Team A" played 12 total games, 11 of the games were vs. other SoCal teams and the other 1 was vs. a Utah team.

"Utah Team A" played 12 total games also, 11 of the games were vs. other Utah teams and the other 1 was vs. a SoCal team.

Well the SoCal team will be scaled mostly to SoCal, and the Utah team will be scaled most to Utah teams... Because thats what happens over time, your rating becomes your scale compared to the teams youve played. Obviously if the SoCal team played more Utah teams theyve begin to be scaled more and more to Utah... But thats not the case, we have to work with limited data, in this case being 1 game.

Back to the example ... So "SoCal Team A" defeated "Utah Team A" 35-21, by 14 points... So if thats accurate, "SoCal Team A" should be rated more or less 14 points higher than "Utah Team A" because thats how ratings work at CP. 

 Now looking at each teams rating after the season is over, "SoCal Team A" has a rating of , lets say, 59... While "Utah Team A" has a rating of 32... So...  "SoCal Team A" only won the actual game by 14, but has a rating 27 points higher than the Utah team.... Heres where the scaling comes in ---- what this suggests is, either the teams "SoCal Team A" were playing in SoCal were overvalued/overscaled allowing "SoCal Team A"s rating to be higher than it should be... Or "Utah Team A"s opponents in Utah were undervalued, and should be scaled higher on average.

Now thats a hard comparison to draw using just 1 game and 2 teams, so thats why I use every team and every OOS game.

 

But... NorCal and SoCal are easy to seperate because they dont play each other a lot. 

 

Lol Folsom and DLS are better than any team in the state of GA. 

Not debtable. 

Get lost. Lol. 

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