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Who here still thinks Covid-19 is not a big deal?


noonereal

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58 minutes ago, thc6795 said:

22k people died of the flu this yr. SO FAR

Forget about politics for a minute.

Since 2010, 37,250 people have died from the flu each year on average in this country. That's with no attempts at social distancing.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

With massive, unprecedented attempts at social distancing, the President is now claiming that if 100,000 to 200,000 people die due to the new coronavirus, we will have successfully managed the outbreak. 

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5 minutes ago, Belly Bob said:

Forget about politics for a minute.

Since 2010, 37,250 people have died from the flu each year on average in this country. That's with no attempts at social distancing.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

With massive, unprecedented attempts at social distancing, the President is now claiming that if 100,000 to 200,000 people die due to the new coronavirus, we will have successfully managed the outbreak. 

Where did you get 37,250?

BGW

Influenza Chart Infographic Influenza Burden Chart

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13 minutes ago, Belly Bob said:

Forget about politics for a minute.

Since 2010, 37,250 people have died from the flu each year on average in this country. That's with no attempts at social distancing.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

With massive, unprecedented attempts at social distancing, the President is now claiming that if 100,000 to 200,000 people die due to the new coronavirus, we will have successfully managed the outbreak. 

37,875... but still a fuckload.

Gotta' love CDC, all round numbers... nice and tidy.

BGW

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3 minutes ago, thc6795 said:

I thought they proved it was not animal orgin?

Based on their genomic sequencing analysis, Andersen and his collaborators concluded that the most likely origins for SARS-CoV-2 followed one of two possible scenarios.

In one scenario, the virus evolved to its current pathogenic state through natural selection in a non-human host and then jumped to humans. This is how previous coronavirus outbreaks have emerged, with humans contracting the virus after direct exposure to civets (SARS) and camels (MERS). The researchers proposed bats as the most likely reservoir for SARS-CoV-2 as it is very similar to a bat coronavirus. There are no documented cases of direct bat-human transmission, however, suggesting that an intermediate host was likely involved between bats and humans.

In this scenario, both of the distinctive features of SARS-CoV-2's spike protein -- the RBD portion that binds to cells and the cleavage site that opens the virus up -- would have evolved to their current state prior to entering humans. In this case, the current epidemic would probably have emerged rapidly as soon as humans were infected, as the virus would have already evolved the features that make it pathogenic and able to spread between people.

In the other proposed scenario, a non-pathogenic version of the virus jumped from an animal host into humans and then evolved to its current pathogenic state within the human population. For instance, some coronaviruses from pangolins, armadillo-like mammals found in Asia and Africa, have an RBD structure very similar to that of SARS-CoV-2. A coronavirus from a pangolin could possibly have been transmitted to a human, either directly or through an intermediary host such as civets or ferrets.

Then the other distinct spike protein characteristic of SARS-CoV-2, the cleavage site, could have evolved within a human host, possibly via limited undetected circulation in the human population prior to the beginning of the epidemic. The researchers found that the SARS-CoV-2 cleavage site, appears similar to the cleavage sites of strains of bird flu that has been shown to transmit easily between people. SARS-CoV-2 could have evolved such a virulent cleavage site in human cells and soon kicked off the current epidemic, as the coronavirus would possibly have become far more capable of spreading between people.

Study co-author Andrew Rambaut cautioned that it is difficult if not impossible to know at this point which of the scenarios is most likely. If the SARS-CoV-2 entered humans in its current pathogenic form from an animal source, it raises the probability of future outbreaks, as the illness-causing strain of the virus could still be circulating in the animal population and might once again jump into humans. The chances are lower of a non-pathogenic coronavirus entering the human population and then evolving properties similar to SARS-CoV-2 ~ excerpt from Science Daily.

BGW

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