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2019 Tiers- Tier 3 RELEASED!


Sammyswordsman

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For the 2019 season we will begin rolling out our Tiers  in  Ascending order.

We will begin with Tier 6 on Friday Aug. 15.

Tier 6 - Aug 15

Tier 5 - Aug 18

Tier 4 - Aug 24

Tier 3 - Aug 25

Tier 2 - Sept 1

Tier 1 - Sept 2

 As always The Tiers are a crowd sourced product.  We do value input from members specializing in all regions of the Country.  While we do not attempt to place every team on a Tier, we do want to include all teams that members are interested in.  So let us know about your team at any time during the year, and they will be placed on a Tier.  Due to the extravagant amount of time it takes to analyze multiple data points and match with good gut feelings, we will only show the Top 6 Tiers.

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11 hours ago, Sammyswordsman said:

For the 2019 season we will begin rolling out our Tiers  in  Ascending order.

We will begin with Tier 6 on Friday Aug. 15.

Tier 6 - Aug 15

Tier 5 - Aug 18

Tier 4 - Aug 24

Tier 3 - Aug 25

Tier 2 - Sept 1

Tier 1 - Sept 2

 As always The Tiers are a crowd sourced product.  We do value input from members specializing in all regions of the Country.  While we do not attempt to place every team on a Tier, we do want to include all teams that members are interested in.  So let us know about your team at any time during the year, and they will be placed on a Tier.  Due to the extravagant amount of time it takes to analyze multiple data points and match with good gut feelings, we will only show the Top 6 Tiers.

Sammy putting out Tier 1 after the many big OOS games are played.  That's genius.

I knew you were a lot smarter than you looked. Well done.Einstein.gif.26a4a8432471e0ad83ecbde275eb93f6.gif

Edited by 1DayPGA
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On 8/6/2019 at 11:49 PM, Sammyswordsman said:

For the 2019 season we will begin rolling out our Tiers  in  Ascending order.

We will begin with Tier 6 on Friday Aug. 15.

Tier 6 - Aug 15

Tier 5 - Aug 18

Tier 4 - Aug 24

Tier 3 - Aug 25

Tier 2 - Sept 1

Tier 1 - Sept 2

 As always The Tiers are a crowd sourced product.  We do value input from members specializing in all regions of the Country.  While we do not attempt to place every team on a Tier, we do want to include all teams that members are interested in.  So let us know about your team at any time during the year, and they will be placed on a Tier.  Due to the extravagant amount of time it takes to analyze multiple data points and match with good gut feelings, we will only show the Top 6 Tiers.

don't know if this can help with your preparation, but the LHSAA just released preseason polls...  here's how they see the Louisiana 5A

 1.  Zachary

 2. West Monroe

 3. East Ascension

 4. Alexandria

 5. East St John

 6. Terrebonne

 7. Destrehan

 8. Acadiana

 9. John Ehret

10. Captain Shreve

 

my take, Zachary is the clear # 1 until someone knocks them off, followed by Acadiana, Destrehan, West Monroe (no particular order). 

EA, ASH and ESJ are too high if they're ahead of Acadiana amd Desty

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Tier 1 - 

 

Tier 2 -  

 

Tier 3 - 

 

Tier 4 - 

Tier 5 -   

Tier 6 - St. Xavier (OH), Lowndes, Parkview, Loyola Academy, Destrehan, Servite,  DBP, AHP, C-Hill, Westlake (Tx), Bishop Dunne, Guyer, SPP, Good Council, Grayson, Archer

*Requests to add your team will be honored.  But must be Tier 6 or above to be placed on a Tier.

Below is an explanation of the Methodolgy used to place the teams on various Tiers.  The Tier concept recognizes that W/L records are a function of quality of opponent, and as such, RELEVANCY of opponent MUST be factored in.  The Tiers recognizes that in some cases, a 10-0 team (ranked in Top 100 by some outlets) could get blown off the field by a 5-5 (unranked) team that played a tougher schedule.  This is why the Tiers was created.

 

*Not attempting to rank every team, only the ones we discuss on this site.

*Teams are ranked appropriately for that week in the season.  Teams can improve and regress comparatively.

* The Tiers are fluid and subject to extreme fluctuations early in the year, leveling out as the year progresses.

*Tier placements consider a teams entire body of work, however are weighted heaviest on recent games and game weights decrease in significance in reverse order.  In other words, early road OOS losses to relevant teams can be overcome as the season progresses.

*Teams placed on the same Tier can compete with other same Tier teams and possibly win 2+ of 10. 

*Basically there is a -10 point drop between tiers.  Could vary from a TD to 3 scores depending on the styles of teams playing.  This does not necessarily mean that there is a 30 point difference between Tier 1 and Tier 3, only that the chances of a Tier 3 team beating a Tier 1 team are exponentially less than the chances of a Tier 2 Team beating a Tier 1 team.

*The Tiers will ultimately be made up of (16) teams per Tier that would form competitive playoff brackets.

*Texas teams generally have not played enough OOS games to gauge properly #crapshoot.  There must be a daisy chain OOS connection for a reference point.  Teams with no OOS daisy chain connection may not be placed on a Tier.  (Texas exempt)

*Tiers are based on exhaustive research, Multiple games watched, and good gut feelings.

*This is a crowd sourced rating. All input will be considered and adjustments will be made as appropriate

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Sammy,

I think that Bones may agree with this...but i wouldn`t rank any Illinois teams at the start because they aren`t allowed to scrimmage other squads in the Pre-season.....it takes about 3 games to find their flow and identity...the first several games are like their scrimmages.It`s just something to consider.

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3 minutes ago, abbatt said:

Sammy,

I think that Bones may agree with this...but i wouldn`t rank any Illinois teams at the start because they aren`t allowed to scrimmage other squads in the Pre-season.....it takes about 3 games to find their flow and identity...the first several games are like their scrimmages.It`s just something to consider.

I get it.  But I like Loyola Academy historically and think they are a safe Tier 6 program.  Consider them a benchmark for the Illinois teams.  Will be adding more in Sept most likely 

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1 hour ago, Sammyswordsman said:

 

Tier 1 - 

 

Tier 2 -  

 

Tier 3 - 

 

Tier 4 - 

Tier 5 -   

Tier 6 - St. Xavier (OH), Lowndes, Parkview, Loyola Academy, Destrehan, Servite,  DBP, AHP, C-Hill, Westlake (Tx), Bishop Dunne, Guyer, SPP, Good Council, Grayson, Archer

*Requests to add your team will be honored.  But must be Tier 6 or above to be placed on a Tier.

Below is an explanation of the Methodolgy used to place the teams on various Tiers.  The Tier concept recognizes that W/L records are a function of quality of opponent, and as such, RELEVANCY of opponent MUST be factored in.  The Tiers recognizes that in some cases, a 10-0 team (ranked in Top 100 by some outlets) could get blown off the field by a 5-5 (unranked) team that played a tougher schedule.  This is why the Tiers was created.

 

*Not attempting to rank every team, only the ones we discuss on this site.

*Teams are ranked appropriately for that week in the season.  Teams can improve and regress comparatively.

* The Tiers are fluid and subject to extreme fluctuations early in the year, leveling out as the year progresses.

*Tier placements consider a teams entire body of work, however are weighted heaviest on recent games and game weights decrease in significance in reverse order.  In other words, early road OOS losses to relevant teams can be overcome as the season progresses.

*Teams placed on the same Tier can compete with other same Tier teams and possibly win 2+ of 10. 

*Basically there is a -10 point drop between tiers.  Could vary from a TD to 3 scores depending on the styles of teams playing.  This does not necessarily mean that there is a 30 point difference between Tier 1 and Tier 3, only that the chances of a Tier 3 team beating a Tier 1 team are exponentially less than the chances of a Tier 2 Team beating a Tier 1 team.

*The Tiers will ultimately be made up of (16) teams per Tier that would form competitive playoff brackets.

*Texas teams generally have not played enough OOS games to gauge properly #crapshoot.  There must be a daisy chain OOS connection for a reference point.  Teams with no OOS daisy chain connection may not be placed on a Tier.  (Texas exempt)

*Tiers are based on exhaustive research, Multiple games watched, and good gut feelings.

*This is a crowd sourced rating. All input will be considered and adjustments will be made as appropriate

No Folsom in tier 6. Guess they won’t have a spot in tiers to start the season. 

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