ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 CP Projections: Armwood FL 27, North Gwinnett GA 7 ... (GA -20) Ratings: North Gwinnett: 43.9 ; Armwood: 59.7 ... (GA -15.8) Actual: North Gwinnett 26, Armwood 23 ... (GA +3) Difference: GA outperforms by +18.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Bartram Trail FL 49, Brunswick GA 17 ... (GA -32) Ratings: Brunswick: -7.5 ; Bartram Trail: 22.8 ... (GA -30.3) Actual: Bartram Trail FL 24, Brunswick GA 7 ... (GA -17) Difference: GA outperforms by +13.3 ... (+32.1 through 2 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Camden Co. GA 34, Wren SC 21 ... (GA +13) Ratings: Camden Co.: 33.8 ; Wren: 25.4 ... (GA +8.4) Actual: Camden Co. GA 52, Wren SC 44 ... (GA +8) Difference: GA underperforms by -0.4 ... (+31.7 through 3 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lowndes GA 35, Champagnat Catholic FL 20 ... (GA +15) Ratings: Lowndes: 45.7 ; Champagnat Catholic: 9.8 ... (GA +35.9) (Not sure why the big difference in projection & rating) Actual: Lowndes GA 44, Champagnat Catholic FL 14 ...(GA +30) Difference: GA outperforms the projection by 15, but underperforms in Ratings by -5.9 ... Weird but Im using the ratings so this is an underperformance .... (+25.8 through 4 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Westlake GA 26, Jeff Davis AL 20 ... (GA +6) Ratings: Westlake: 8.6 ; Jeff Davis: 0.5 ... (GA +8.1) Actual: Westlake GA 30, Jeff Davis AL 14 ... (GA +16) Difference: GA outperforms by +7.9 (+33.7 through 5 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: St. Josephs Prep PA 40, Marietta GA 14 ... (GA -26) Ratings: Marietta: 54.4 ; St. Josephs Prep: 74.3 ... (GA -19.9) Actual: Marietta GA 21, St. Joseph's Prep PA 17 ... (GA +4) Difference: GA outperforms by +23.9 (+56.6 through 6 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Hewitt-Trussville AL 55, West Forsyth GA 7 ... (GA -48) Ratings: West Forsyth: 10.7 ; Hewitt-Trussville: 49.9 ... (GA -39.2) Actual: Hewitt-Trussville AL 47, West Forsyth GA 19 ... (GA -28) Difference: GA outperforms by +11.2 ... (+67.8 through 7 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lee Co. GA 31, Life Christian Academy VA 10 ... (GA +21) Ratings: Lee Co.: 53 ; LCA: 20.3 ... (GA +32.7) (LCA outperformed their rating the first game... Appears to be why the big different in projection vs. Rating) Actual: Lee Co. GA 27, LCA 0 ... (GA +27) Difference: Id rather not count this one as it was called early due to bad sportsmanship from LCA , BUT its going to be put this way into CalPreps so I have to if I want to be accurate... GA underperforms by -5.7 ... (+62.1 through 8 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: North Augusta SC 21, Evans GA 17 ... (GA -4) Ratings: Evans: -6.5 ; North Augusta: -3.4 ... (GA -3.1) Actual: North Augusta SC 14, Evans GA 7 ... (GA -7) Difference: GA underperforms by -3.9 ... (+58.2 through 9 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Midland Valley SC 28, Grovetown GA 21 ... (GA -7) Ratings: Grovetown: -11.4 ; Midland Valley: -18.7 ... (GA +7.3) Actual: Grovetown GA 27, Midland Valley SC 0 ... (GA +27) Difference: GA outperforms by +19.7 ... (GA +77.9 through 10 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: South Aiken SC 27, Lakeside (Evans) GA 17 ... (GA -10) Ratings: Lakeside (Evans): -7.8 ; South Aiken: 2.4 ... (GA -10.2) Actual: Lakeside (Evans) GA 36, South Aiken SC 21 ... (GA +15) Difference: GA outperforms by +25.2 ... (+103.1 through 11 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Mays GA 27, Carver AL 14 ... (GA +13) Ratings: Mays: -2.6 ; Carver AL: -10.4 ... (GA +7.8) Actual: Mays GA 49, Carver AL 21 ... (GA +28) Difference: GA outperforms by +20.2 ... (+123.3 through 12 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Jones FL 42, Johns Creek GA 7 ... (GA -35) Ratings: Johns Creek: -1.8 ; Jones: 31.8 ... (GA -33.6) Actual: Jones FL 47, Johns Creek GA 16 ... (GA -31) Difference: GA outperforms by +2.6 ... (+125.9 through 13 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Griffin GA 35, Fairfield AL 13 ... (GA +22) Ratings: Griffin: 7.4 ; Fairfield: -7.1 ... (GA +14.5) Actual: Griffin GA 44, Fairfield AL 6 ... (GA +38) Difference: GA outperforms by +23.5 ... (+149.4 through 14 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Central (Phenix City) AL 34, Cedar Grove GA 12 ... (GA -22) Ratings: Cedar Grove: 42.6 ; Central: 58.9 ... (GA -16.3) Actual: Central AL 24, Cedar Grove GA 20 ... (GA -4) Difference: GA outperforms by +12.3 ... (+161.7 through 15 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: North Sand Mountain AL 40, Dade Co. GA 6 ... (GA -34) Ratings: Dade Co.: -46 ; North Sand Mountain: -10.4 ... (GA -35.6) Actual: North Sand Mountain AL 28, Dade Co. GA 26 ... (GA -2) Difference: GA outperforms by +33.6 ... ( 195.3 through 16 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Savannah Christian GA 31, Oceanside Collegiate SC 26 ... (GA +4) Ratings: Sav. Christian: 7.2 ; Oceanside: 0.1 ... (GA +7.1) Actual: Oceanside Collegiate SC 49, Savannah Christian GA 7 ... GA -42 Difference: Letting 1 game change the #s this much is probably a mistake because this is more of an extreme outlier.. But whatevs... GA underperforms by -49.1 ... (+146.2 through 17 games) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lincoln Co. GA 28, McCormick SC 14 ... (GA +14) Ratings: Lincoln Co.: -30.2 ; McCormick: -40.6 ... (GA +10.4) Actual: Lincoln Co. GA 41, McCormick SC 0 ... (GA +41) Difference: GA outperforms by +31.4. ... (+177.6 through 18 games) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 31 minutes ago, noonereal said: I'll bet you half the stats are over performing and half are under performing. Think about it. Plus, for the most part, @ECHS05 is just making stuff up. Here is an idea. Just enjoy the games. When GA has a truly gifted team that is well coached it will show up in teh scores and polls. peace Im showing you proof you are wrong. Like youve been everytime when arguing with me. You bet half are over & half are under? I just showed you the #s from last week. Now, Look above... Theres every OOS game for Next week. There is no making that up. You can go check every # right now & verify. Those games will be played in 2-4 days. The projections are meaningless for the #s, those are there for fun. What matters are the Ratings (which I have), and the Actual score. Show some proof Ive made ANYTHING up. Instead of sitting there "thinking about it"... Its there to check, you dont have to think... I did that part for you because Im better at it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 Lol at the smugness of "i bet half are over and half are under..." The stupidity is beyond belief. I know people are dumb ... Well not all,but most... Somehow it still surprises me. It is true you can lead a horse to water, but you cant make him drink... Especially when NOR is the horse & its the horse from Family Guy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: Oh, I will enjoy the games. It appears that Georgia has some teams in the polls. I will also enjoy watching ECHS go after CalPreps... again. He took a year off, but, they went the other way again, so... We're off! Hahaha I am lovin' Marietta. So we can enjoy at least one team together. Pumpkin has little faith in them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, ECHS05 said: Im showing you proof you are wrong. Like youve been everytime when arguing with me. You bet half are over & half are under? I just showed you the #s from last week. Now, Look above... Theres every OOS game for Next week. There is no making that up. You can go check every # right now & verify. Those games will be played in 2-4 days. The projections are meaningless for the #s, those are there for fun. What matters are the Ratings (which I have), and the Actual score. Show some proof Ive made ANYTHING up. Instead of sitting there "thinking about it"... Its there to check, you dont have to think... I did that part for you because Im better at it. You go girl! The season is young, enjoy the games! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 minute ago, noonereal said: You go girl! The season is young, enjoy the games! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, noonereal said: I am lovin' Marietta. So we can enjoy at least one team together. Pumpkin has little faith in them. They have a great offense. I'm on the fence about them right now as far as being a complete enough team to win a championship in Ga. They can maybe score enough points to beat everyone they face. I want to see them face a really good defense and stop the run their own self. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: They have a great offense. I'm on the fence about them right now as far as being a complete enough team to win a championship in Ga. They can maybe score enough points to beat everyone they face. I want to see them face a really good defense and stop the run their own self. Well... Playing SJP will be a good measuring stick. Their games vs McEachern & Hillgrove will be good. Even that Edgewater team from Florida they play is pretty good. They are currently 20th in FL, with a lot of opportunity to move up in the next few weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, ECHS05 said: Well... Playing SJP will be a good measuring stick. Their games vs McEachern & Hillgrove will be good. Even that Edgewater team from Florida they play is pretty good. They are currently 20th in FL, with a lot of opportunity to move up in the next few weeks. I need to see McEachern against a good defense as well. But yeah, I think Marietta will over perform their CP rating and prediction against SJP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECHS05 Posted August 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: I need to see McEachern against a good defense as well. But yeah, I think they will over perform their CP rating and prediction against SJP. CP is saying we go 6-12 in those OOS games... With some big time ass kicked... North Gwinnett losing by 20, Cedar Grove losing by 22, Marietta losing by 26 And Johns Creek losing by 35 to Jones FL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, ECHS05 said: Well... Playing SJP will be a good measuring stick. Their games vs McEachern & Hillgrove will be good. Even that Edgewater team from Florida they play is pretty good. They are currently 20th in FL, with a lot of opportunity to move up in the next few weeks. You may not believe me but I really hope they do well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noonereal Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, ECHS05 said: CP is saying we go 6-12 in those OOS games... With some big time ass kicked... North Gwinnett losing by 20, Cedar Grove losing by 22, Marietta losing by 26 What Cal says is irrelevant now. Hey, good news, NCAA women soccer is here! (I know that will thrill you) NC State beat #7 Georgetown Sunday. At Georgetown., Way cool. 👍 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, ECHS05 said: CP is saying we go 6-12 in those OOS games... With some big time ass kicked... North Gwinnett losing by 20, Cedar Grove losing by 22, Marietta losing by 26 And Johns Creek losing by 35 to Jones FL I know it's a pick em game, so answer if you want, but, do you think Armwood beats NG by 20 or even at all? I surely don't expect Marietta to falter by 26. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badrouter Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: I know it's a pick em game, so answer if you want, but, do you think Armwood beats NG by 20 or even at all? I surely don't expect Marietta to falter by 26. Home field advantage for NG should be huge. IMO, Armwood is a top 5 team in Florida this year. (IMG is not counted as a Florida team). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FootballGuy Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 27 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: I know it's a pick em game, so answer if you want, but, do you think Armwood beats NG by 20 or even at all? I surely don't expect Marietta to falter by 26. I saw armwood's highlights versus plant, and from the looks of it, NG might be in TROUBLE. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nolebull813 Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 Georgia vs Florida always go with GA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ararar Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 hour ago, ECHS05 said: CP Projections: Armwood FL 27, North Gwinnett GA 7 ... (GA -20) Ratings: North Gwinnett: 43.9 ; Armwood: 59.7 ... (GA -15.8) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Bartram Trail FL 49, Brunswick GA 17 ... (GA -32) Ratings: Brunswick: -7.5 ; Bartram Trail: 22.8 ... (GA -30.3) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Camden Co. GA 34, Wren SC 21 ... (GA +13) Ratings: Camden Co.: 33.8 ; Wren: 25.4 ... (GA +8.4) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lowndes GA 35, Champagnat Catholic FL 20 ... (GA +15) Ratings: Lowndes: 45.7 ; Champagnat Catholic: 9.8 ... (GA +35.9) (Not sure why the big difference in projection & rating) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Clay-Chalkville AL 31, Westlake GA 17 ... (GA -14) Ratings: Westlake: 8.6 ; Clay-Chalkville: 23 ... (GA -14.4) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: St. Josephs Prep PA 40, Marietta GA 14 ... (GA -26) Ratings: Marietta: 54.4 ; St. Josephs Prep: 74.3 ... (GA -19.9) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Hewitt-Trussville AL 55, West Forsyth GA 7 ... (GA -48) Ratings: West Forsyth: 10.7 ; Hewitt-Trussville: 49.9 ... (GA -39.2) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lee Co. GA 31, Life Christian Academy VA 10 ... (GA +21) Ratings: Lee Co.: 53 ; LCA: 20.3 ... (GA +32.7) (LCA outperformed their rating the first game... Appears to be why the big different in projection vs. Rating) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: North Augusta SC 21, Evans GA 17 ... (GA -4) Ratings: Evans: -6.5 ; North Augusta: -3.4 ... (GA -3.1) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Midland Valley SC 28, Grovetown GA 21 ... (GA -7) Ratings: Grovetown: -11.4 ; Midland Valley: -18.7 ... (GA +7.3) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: South Aiken SC 27, Lakeside (Evans) GA 17 ... (GA -10) Ratings: Lakeside (Evans): -7.8 ; South Aiken: 2.4 ... (GA -10.2) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Ramsay AL 28, Mays GA 7 ... (GA -21) Ratings: Mays: -2.6 ; Ramsay: 20.7 ... (GA -23.3) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Jones FL 42, Johns Creek GA 7 ... (GA -35) Ratings: Johns Creek: -1.8 ; Jones: 31.8 ... (GA -33.6) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Griffin GA 21, Sidney Lanier AL 20 ... (GA +1) Ratings: Griffin: 7.4 ; Sidney Lanier: 7.9 ... (GA -0.5) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Central (Phenix City) AL 34, Cedar Grove GA 12 ... (GA -22) Ratings: Cedar Grove: 42.6 ; Central: 58.9 ... (GA -16.3) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: North Sand Mountain AL 40, Dade Co. GA 6 ... (GA -34) Ratings: Dade Co.: -46 ; North Sand Mountain: -10.4 ... (GA -35.6) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Savannah Christian GA 31, Oceanside Collegiate SC 26 ... (GA +4) Ratings: Sav. Christian: 7.2 ; Oceanside: 0.1 ... (GA +7.1) Actual: Difference: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - CP Projections: Lincoln Co. GA 28, McCormick SC 14 ... (GA +14) Ratings: Lincoln Co.: -30.2 ; McCormick: -40.6 ... (GA +10.4) Actual: Difference: Where’s Munroe (FL) vs Georgia Christian? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 39 minutes ago, badrouter said: Home field advantage for NG should be huge. IMO, Armwood is a top 5 team in Florida this year. (IMG is not counted as a Florida team). So we are talking top 5 Fla. vs. AJC number 10 Ga. Is there a 20 point separation between top 5 Fla. and barely top 10 Ga. I guess we are bound to find out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ararar said: Where’s Munroe (FL) vs Georgia Christian? Not a GHSA school. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ararar Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 Just now, HawgGoneIt said: Not a GHSA school. So you believe Calpreps doesn’t take GA football as a whole? They only take GA football as a partial? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Ararar said: So you believe Calpreps doesn’t take GA football as a whole? They only take GA football as a partial? Idc. They shouldn't take GISA teams as anything. Georgia folks don't. Hahaha I do see your point though. I guess I toss the NOR argument... You are looking at the week in micro. We are looking in macro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ararar Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 minute ago, HawgGoneIt said: Idc. They shouldn't take GISA teams as anything. Georgia folks don't. Hahaha I do see your point though. I guess I toss the NOR argument... You are looking at the week in micro. We are looking in macro. I’m just sayin i have no doubt Calpreps takes a whole state into consideration when scaling ECHS should show us the whole States results instead of just the one y’all like. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawgGoneIt Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ararar said: I’m just sayin i have no doubt Calpreps takes a whole state into consideration when scaling ECHS should show us the whole States results instead of just the one y’all like. I agree with that as whether we like it or not, they are included in the overall scaling. In this particular week, that one game probably would have a minimal effect on the overall picture, but, it should still be included if we are trying to keep the recording precise. Nobody thinks about the GISA teams when thinking about Georgia football. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Guru Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 48 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: So we are talking top 5 Fla. vs. AJC number 10 Ga. Is there a 20 point separation between top 5 Fla. and barely top 10 Ga. I guess we are bound to find out. Because, of course, badrouter's word is gold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ararar Posted August 28, 2019 Report Share Posted August 28, 2019 40 minutes ago, HawgGoneIt said: I agree with that as whether we like it or not, they are included in the overall scaling. In this particular week, that one game probably would have a minimal effect on the overall picture, but, it should still be included if we are trying to keep the recording precise. Nobody thinks about the GISA teams when thinking about Georgia football. There’s another game on the schedule I have no idea if it will help or hurt his cause but I know it will make it complete Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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