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The latest poll numbers...


DBP66

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2 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said:

At this point in 2016, Republicans were leading by about 17,000 ballots.

Republicans: 1,798,954 (40.3%)
Democrats: 1,781,498 (39.9%)
NPA: 886,172 (19.8%)

Total Margin: GOP +0.39%

🤷‍♂️

Wrong.  Democrats led the total early vote in Florida in 2016 by about 100,000.

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Just now, Bormio said:

Wrong.  Democrats led the total early vote in Florida in 2016 by about 100,000.

You know it's not against the law for you to be right about something occasionally. 

👇

7 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said:

At this point in 2016, Republicans were leading by about 17,000 ballots.

Republicans: 1,798,954 (40.3%)
Democrats: 1,781,498 (39.9%)
NPA: 886,172 (19.8%)

Total Margin: GOP +0.39%

🤷‍♂️

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=407463.1525

2020-10-30_11-57-44.png.0362ba3a1e15daad30099f6d2ba341fc.png

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12 minutes ago, Bormio said:

Politico 11/8/2016.  Democrats have a 90,000 early vote lead in Florida heading into Election Day.

It's clear that you don't know how to read.

👇

24 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said:

At this point in 2016, Republicans were leading by about 17,000 ballots.

Republicans: 1,798,954 (40.3%)
Democrats: 1,781,498 (39.9%)
NPA: 886,172 (19.8%)

Total Margin: GOP +0.39%

🤷‍♂️

 

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2 minutes ago, Bormio said:

The Miami-Dade problem is real.  Democrats won early vote in 2016 by 15%.  Currently lead by 10%.  In 2016 won overall by nearly 30%.  But it appears much larger percentage has already voted now vs 2016.  Getting to  20%, let alone 30%, looks nearly impossible.

Politico and several other publications have already sounded the alarm for florida from a dem perspective 

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What happens with currently outstanding mail-in ballots in Florida will be interesting, as that is a strength for the Dems and currently there are over 170k more Dem requested ballots outstanding than Republican.

Republican in-person voting is well ahead of the Dems and I think Republicans are expected to turn out in greater numbers on election day.

An interesting thing to watch will be voter turnout in the many red but smaller counties.  The large blue counties are already at 50% turnout or better.  Red counties from 2016 are generally in the low to mid-40s. Could this mean red counties have more gas in the tank for Nov 3rd?

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

 

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8 minutes ago, concha said:

 

What happens with currently outstanding mail-in ballots in Florida will be interesting, as that is a strength for the Dems and currently there are over 170k more Dem requested ballots outstanding than Republican.

Republican in-person voting is well ahead of the Dems and I think Republicans are expected to turn out in greater numbers on election day.

An interesting thing to watch will be voter turnout in the many red but smaller counties.  The large blue counties are already at 50% turnout or better.  Red counties from 2016 are generally in the low to mid-40s. Could this mean red counties have more gas in the tank for Nov 3rd?

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

 

5 million mail-in votes already in.  A certain non-trivial % will never be returned.  In-person voting is swamping effect from mail in votes every day now - in person voting continues through Sunday

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18 minutes ago, concha said:

 

What happens with currently outstanding mail-in ballots in Florida will be interesting, as that is a strength for the Dems and currently there are over 170k more Dem requested ballots outstanding than Republican.

Republican in-person voting is well ahead of the Dems and I think Republicans are expected to turn out in greater numbers on election day.

An interesting thing to watch will be voter turnout in the many red but smaller counties.  The large blue counties are already at 50% turnout or better.  Red counties from 2016 are generally in the low to mid-40s. Could this mean red counties have more gas in the tank for Nov 3rd?

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

 

In Loxahatchee,Fla, which is mostly Republican, the line wait was about  one and a half hrs..

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1 hour ago, Bormio said:

Florida early vote closes Sunday.  The mail in vote is nearly all in.  Democrats did not gain 100,000 votes in the last weekend in 2016.  Your source is BS

Three days of early vote left, which includes Souls to the Polls, along with 5 days of absentee votes is perfectly plausible.

You're just incredibly stupid and uninformed as usual.

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2 minutes ago, Atticus Finch said:

Three days of early vote left, which includes Souls to the Polls, along with 5 days of absentee votes is perfectly plausible.

You're just incredibly stupid and uninformed as usual.

Souls to the Polls last weekend held GOP gains down, but there were still gains.

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40 minutes ago, HSFBfan said:

He is on pace to win every swing state besides pa and could pick up nevada and minnesota 

He's actually behind in the polling in nearly every swing state and barely has a chance to be closer than -4 in Nevada and Minnesota.

But he's definitely "on pace" to win them and "could win" Nevada and Minnesota.

👌

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